WakeFanatic
Well-known member
UCONN is -10...
UCONN is -10...
Reminds me of the UNC - Wake football line. Be careful betting against Wake here... Vegas doesn't put out bad lines. Of course they could easily lose by 30, but my only advice is if you are betting against Wake, bet the UConn moneyline. Sure, you wont make quite as much... but you avoid the dreaded double whammy Wake loss between 1 and 9.
You guys are way too pessimistic about our chances against the Huskies. There's a good chance they're looking past us to their Stony Brook game next week.
And people really thought a game on a neutral court between two BCS teams on a neutral court was going to be an 18 point line? I realize that people think Wake is really bad on here, but 10 is about right.
Looks like I picked the wrong weekend to be in Vegas...
The last top-25 team Wake played was Duke. That game was at home. In our most recent game, we had just beaten Boston College by 29. Duke had just been taken to overtime in their previous game by our fellow-last place team, VT. Our spread vs Duke spread opened at 13.5. Isn't home-court considered to be a 4-point swing? Assuming neutral-court is half of that each direction... I don't think expecting the spread to be 16-18 is all that far-fetched.
Also we covered that line.
I doubt there is an exploitable pattern of Vegas bias towards this Wake coached Bz team ATS... that wouldn't make any sense. Last year for example we went 14-13-1 ATS for games that had lines.