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The Way Too Early KenPom Report

Pilchard

Pilchard

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With WF having played only two games and many teams only one, KenPom ratings and statistical ranks are close to meaningless. Even so, thought the following was interesting:

WF is now up to #67 in the Ken Pom ratings which is close to the high water mark for WF basketball over the past few years. Even so, with the ACC being so loaded, WF's projected regular season record is 13-15 (6-12 ACC; WF will actually play two additional games in the upcoming tourney in Charleston, but there is no projection after the opener against UTEP because WF's opponents are unknown at this point).

Kenpom has WF's next opponent UTEP is rated at #215, and WF is projected to win the tourney opener by 9. If WF wins, WF would likely play Nova who is #2 right now.

The good so far:

WF is in the top 75 in the country in:

- Effective FG% #53 (because WF has shot the 3 well so far)
- Off Reb% #35
- 3 PT FG% #47 (big difference from last year)
- Defensive blocked shot % #29 (likely attributable to playing undersized opponents)
- Keeping our opponent off the FT line #12 in FTA/FGA.

The bad:

Not too much:

- WF is #215 in defensive rebound percentage (which is a little disconcerting considering who WF has played).

Some other fun stats:

WF is still a young team as it is #216 in roster experience.

WF is #76 in average height.

WF is #71 in bench minutes (again essentially meaningless this early in the season).
 
2&2 Slider To Leyritz said:
Keep spasming your premature ecalculation. I'll stick with your mom's hot hand.
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That's fine because the "hot hand" doesn't exist.

Nate Silver gave Trump a 35% chance to win the election. When the sample size is 1, anything can happen. I don't really expect you to understand that, but such is life. FEELINGS MATTER!
 
Deacsfan27 said:
That's fine because the "hot hand" doesn't exist.

Nate Silver gave Trump a 35% chance to win the election. When the sample size is 1, anything can happen. I don't really expect you to understand that, but such is life. FEELINGS MATTER!
Click to expand...

A 4 point underdog winning outright equals 35% probability of victory. So, Dolphins win over San Diego yesterday shared the same probability of Trump winning. Seems like many people don't get that.
 
What were we favored by yesterday? 11 on KP? Wake winning by 20 against Bucknell is probably a more unlikely result than Trump winning last week.

Can't tell if 2&2 is trolling at this point, or simply does not understand even the basics of statistics.
 
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68 teams make the tourney. KenPom has us at 67. Therefore we'll make the tourney.
 
Deacsfan27 said:
What were we favored yesterday by? 11 on KP? Wake winning by 20 yesterday is a probably a more unlikely result than Trump winning.

Can't tell is 2&2 is trolling at this point or simply does not understand the simplest things as they relate to statistics.
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Do you have problems with grammar or typing?
 
HailToTheDeacons said:
We've dropped to 69.
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I know how KenPom works, but it is still funny to see an 0-2 UConn team a few spots in front of us. They've lost home games to Wagner (204) and Northeastern (165).

Interestingly, UConn now has a true road game against Loyola Marymount on their way out to Maui. Could get uglier for them over the next week or so.
 
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