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Bracketology 2017

Think we could even survive that, but I would recommend we don't give it a try
 
At 9-9 (5-3), we're in regardless of the ACCT. I'd love to see it, but this doesn't seem realistic.
 
5-3 means we would need to beat: Tech, State, Pitt, and then two of: @Clemson, @VPI, @Duke, @ND, and Louisville.

Not undoable, but 4-4 seems more realistic. FTR, KenPom has us at 8-10 still, which is 4-4.
 
Deacsfan27 said:
5-3 means we would need to beat: Tech, State, Pitt, and then two of: @Clemson, @VPI, @Duke, @ND, and Louisville.

Not undoable, but 4-4 seems more realistic. FTR, KenPom has us at 8-10 still, which is 4-4.
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Say we steal that @Clemson game. Would we be more likely to beat Louisville and their press at home or VT on the road? @ND/@Duke ain't happening.
 
CantStandYa said:
Say we steal that @Clemson game. Would we be more likely to beat Louisville and their press at home or VT on the road? @ND/@Duke ain't happening.
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We are more likely to beat VPI regardless of winning the Clemson game.
 
@Clemson, @ND, & Louisville are all about even as far as chances to steal a win. I think we may be catching ND at the right moment Tuesday assuming we win tomorrow & they get blitzed at UNC.
 
Huge game today. Would be tough to rebound from a loss today.

Obviously a pretty full slate today, including -

Syracuse (14-9, 6-4, RPI 84) vs. Virginia
Seton Hall (13-8, 3-6, RPI 48) at Georgetown (13-10, 4-6, RPI 54)
Dayton (16-5, 7-2, RPI 30) vs. Duquesne
TCU (15-7, 4-5, RPI 43) vs. Texas
Akron (19-3, 9-0, RPI 44) at Ohio
Valparaiso (19-4, 9-1, RPI 57) at Green Bay
Georgia (13-9, 4-5, RPI 51) at South Carolina
Iowa State (13-8, 5-4, RPI 52) at Kansas
Marquette (14-8, 5-5, RPI 68) at DePaul
Ole Miss (13-9, 4-5, RPI 65) at Vanderbilt
Miami (14-7, 4-5, RPI 74) at NC State (14-9, 3-7, RPI 83)
Kansas State (15-7, 4-5, RPI 53) at Baylor
Xavier (16-6, 6-3, RPI 15) at Creighton
Tennessee (13-9, 5-4, RPI 36) at Mississippi State
Minnesota (15-7, 3-6, RPI 23) at Illinois (13-10, 3-7, RPI 58)
VCU (17-5, 7-2, RPI 31) at St. Bonaventure
Utah (15-7, 6-4, RPI 75) at Stanford
Oklahoma State (14-8, 3-6, RPI 35) at West Virginia
Memphis (17-6, 7-3, RPI 82) at UCF
Arkansas (17-5, 6-3, RPI 28) at Missouri
Ohio State (13-10, 3-7, RPI 81) at Michigan (14-8, 4-5, RPI 62)
Texas Tech (15-7, 3-6, RPI 87) vs. Oklahoma
SMU (19-4, 9-1, RPI 26) at Tulsa
USC (19-4, 6-4, RPI 27) at Washington State
Illinois State (19-4, 11-0, RPI 33) at Wichita State (20-4, 10-1, RPI 67)
Middle Tennessee (20-3, 10-0, RPI 38) at UTEP
Auburn (14-8, 3-6, RPI 77) at Alabama (13-8, 6-3, RPI 66)
 
Big win for Cuse. Wins over Florida State and Virginia certainly puts them back in the conversation.
 
ND game against UNC moving to tomorrow is good news for Wake even if just a 15 hour difference.
 
Will be interesting to see what 19-13 with no great wins but high SOS and analytics numbers puts us.
 
Eagles_Legendz said:
Will be interesting to see what 19-13 with no great wins but high SOS and analytics numbers puts us.
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If we're getting to 19-13 by finishing out the regular season 18-12 (9-9) and then going 1-1 in the ACCT, we are definitely dancing. I'd guess a 10-seed.
 
Tennessee blew a 19 point lead to lost to Mississippi State (103rd in KenPom) today. Big for Wake.
 
Some positives and negatives today.

Results def helped the cause of the ACC getting 11 and/or the Big 12 getting 7
 
Bubble winners today
Kansas State - tied for biggest win of the day at Baylor. They're probably a 7 or 8 seed as it stands today.
Iowa State - tied for biggest win of the day at Kansas. This type of win puts them in and will differentiate their resume come March.
Oklahoma State - another big upset, winning on the road at West Virginia. They're arguably a top-20 team and should be in the tourney.
Syracuse - huge win over Virginia today. They were off the bubble, but this puts them back in consideration. They have two top-25 wins in the past week.
Seton Hall - overtime victory at Georgetown, also on the bubble. Most projections have them in the tournament right now, but I think Wake has a better resume.
Dayton - beat Duquense by 37 at home. Doesn't help or hurt their chances.
TCU - win vs. Texas by 15. They have an easier SOS than Wake, but do have two top-30 wins against Iowa State and Kansas State
Marquette - won at DePaul, as expected. Wins over Villanova and Creighton likely have them ahead of Wake.
Ole Miss - won at Vanderbilt. They need every W to stay alive.
Miami - a 5-point victory at NC State. Hopefully our Head-to-Head victory holds some weight.
Xavier - they were projected to make the tourney before today, but a win at Creighton makes it a near-lock. Too bad Wake couldn't pull out the victory back in December.
Minnesota - staying alive with a win at Illinois. They had lost five-straight but have a pretty easy slate to end the season. Winning 6-of-8 is reasonable and should get them in.
VCU - four straight wins for the Rams. St. Bonaventure is a decent team, and they're likely in the tourney even if they don't win the A-10 tourney
Ohio State - stays alive with a nice win at Michigan. They have more work to do, but if they steal a game or two down the stretch they can contend for a tourney spot
Texas Tech - won, as expected, against Oklahoma tonight. They have a brutal rest of the season including @ WVA, @ Oklahoma State, @ TCU, vs. Kansas, and vs. Baylor. They'll need an upset or two to get into the tourney.
SMU - 23-point win tonight @ Tulsa. They're in the tourney barring an end-of-season collapse.
USC - won at Washington State. No bad losses, but a relatively mediocre SOS. Will be tested in a few weeks with Oregon, @ UCLA, and @ Arizona in consecutive games.
Wichita State - beat a decent Illinois State team by 41. They're likely in the tourney.
Auburn - a nice road win at Alabama. They have more work to do, but could end the season with 20 wins and a decent resume.

Bubble losers today
Georgetown - lost at home to Seton Hall. With 11-losses already and two more games against Villanova, they will almost certainly be left out
Georgia - missed a great opportunity to upset #19 South Carolina on the road. Two-point loss leaves them on the outside.
Akron - lost by 15 at Ohio. They need to win the MAC to get in.
Valparaiso - lost by 17 at Green Bay. Need to win the Horizon to get in.
NC State - missed an opportunity to get back in the conversation. Certainly off the bubble.
Tennessee - blew a big lead against Mississippi State. Out of tournament conversation at this point.
Illinois - needed the win against Minnesota for an outside chance. No longer in consideration.
Utah - should have beaten Stanford today. Decent resume, but Wake should be ahead of them in tourney rankings
Memphis - decent record, but no good wins, a few disappointing losses, and a mediocre SOS. Losing tonight didn't help.
Arkansas - Missouri is awful and they lost to Missouri tonight. Wake should get in over them.
Michigan - had a chance to gain traction in the Big 10 against Ohio State, but couldn't pull off the victory. Similar resume to Wake, except they have a solid win against SMU.
Illinois State - got destroyed by Wichita State. They're an outsider right now.
Middle Tennessee - lost at a really bad UTEP team. This is the type of loss that a decent mid-major can't recover from.
Alabama - a week ago they looked to be in decent shape, but then lost to two bubble teams in Arkansas and Auburn. Certainly on the outside right now.
 
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