ReplacementDeac
Active member
- Joined
- Oct 21, 2015
- Messages
- 504
- Reaction score
- 28
1. Duke
3. Virginia
7. North Carolina
16. Notre Dame
21. Miami
25. Louisville
30. Pittsburgh
33. Syracuse
37. Florida State
41. NC State
56. Clemson
60. Wake Forest
85. Georgia Tech
131. Virginia Tech
157. Boston College
3. Virginia
7. North Carolina
16. Notre Dame
21. Miami
25. Louisville
30. Pittsburgh
33. Syracuse
37. Florida State
41. NC State
56. Clemson
60. Wake Forest
85. Georgia Tech
131. Virginia Tech
157. Boston College
Preseason ratings were posted over the weekend. Here’s a reminder as to what goes into them…
The components and weighting is based on a regression of the past nine seasons. The system is, by 2015 standards, pretty simple. It doesn’t try to project playing time for individual players. It doesn’t know about transfers, and all but 5-star recruits are virtually ignored. If you think your favorite team is ranked too low, the reason is probably that there are really good transfers or recruits arriving.
......
Projected offense is largely determined by the quality of a team’s offense over the previous three seasons and its defense from last season. Projected defense uses similar variables.
Returning personnel is considered as well. Generally, the more players returning, the better. However, the quality of the player is also a factor. Losing a high-usage/high-efficiency player hurts a team’s offense a lot more than losing a role player. In fact, a low-usage inefficient role player that returns can actually hurt a team’s rating. So while chasing off a player is not the most ethical practice, it is apparently a good sign for the program when a struggling player seeks a new school.
.......
There is also a penalty for a coaching change, with a greater hit for teams ranked higher. Basically, teams that change coaches tend to underperform their counterparts that have not changed coaches, all other things being equal.
Code:
Date Rk Opponent Result Poss. % Location Conf
Fri Nov 13 332 UMBC W, 81-61 71 96% Home
Sun Nov 15 151 Bucknell W, 74-72 70 60% Away
Wed Nov 18 64 Richmond W, 71-67 68 66% Home
Mon Nov 23 13 Indiana L, 80-74 72 29% Neutral
Mon Nov 30 223 Rutgers W, 74-69 71 70% Away
Fri Dec 4 92 Arkansas W, 80-73 75 74% Home
Tue Dec 15 178 UNC Greensboro W, 80-68 72 86% Home
Fri Dec 18 132 CoastalCarolina W, 76-66 70 82% Home
Tue Dec 22 31 Xavier W, 73-72 70 53% Home
Tue Dec 29 49 LSU L, 78-72 74 30% Away
Sun Jan 3 25 Louisville L, 75-67 71 21% Away ×
Wed Jan 6 1 Duke L, 78-71 71 27% Home ×
Sun Jan 10 41 NC St. W, 73-71 71 57% Home ×
Wed Jan 13 131 Virginia Tech W, 73-72 70 55% Away ×
Sat Jan 16 33 Syracuse W, 72-71 71 53% Home ×
Wed Jan 20 7 North Carolina L, 84-71 75 14% Away ×
Sat Jan 23 21 Miami FL L, 74-66 68 20% Away ×
Mon Jan 25 3 Virginia L, 68-64 65 31% Home ×
Sun Jan 31 16 Notre Dame L, 77-68 69 19% Away ×
Tue Feb 2 56 Clemson W, 69-66 68 64% Home ×
Sat Feb 6 37 Florida St. W, 74-72 71 54% Home ×
Wed Feb 10 85 Georgia Tech L, 71-69 70 42% Away ×
Sat Feb 13 41 NC St. L, 75-69 71 27% Away ×
Tue Feb 16 30 Pittsburgh L, 74-66 67 24% Away ×
Sun Feb 21 157 Boston College W, 77-66 70 85% Home ×
Wed Feb 24 16 Notre Dame L, 73-72 69 45% Home ×
Sun Feb 28 131 Virginia Tech W, 77-68 70 82% Home ×
Tue Mar 1 1 Duke L, 82-67 71 9% Away ×
Projected record: 14-14 7-11
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