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Crossroads, AFP shutting it down in Michigan

I've followed 538 since before 2008, and Silver's been spot on, in both directions. He cares more about being right than pushing either party, because his whole business is predicated on being right. The minutes he's not, his shop will be empty. Not saying that he's infallible, but I trust what I get from that site, based on the two elections cycles I followed it (where the Dems housed the Pubs in one, and the Pubs beat the Dems in the other). Silver was on the mark both times, which is why he's moved up in the world.
 
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