cville deac
Well-known member
- Joined
- Apr 14, 2011
- Messages
- 15,168
- Reaction score
- 899
Over the last week or so, I've begun to believe the chances are getting better that the Dems may well throw away this election that the Pubs are trying ever so hard to hand to them. Hillary is still most likely going to be the nominee, but there is zero excitement for her nomination. As we've seen, most of the youngs are excited about Bernie. If Hillary is the nominee, the youngs are unlikely to vote in large numbers like they did for Obama. Even though the Latino vote is now overwhelmingly Dem, the percentage of eligible Latino voters who actually vote has traditionally been low. And if Trump is the nominee, he could siphon off some of the disaffected low wage white vote that is currently going to Bernie in the primary. A low Dem turnout is the formula the Pubs need in order to win. And without a high turnout, taking back the senate is unlikely.
If Bernie were to win the nomination, it looks even more bleak. He hasn't been hit hard so far, but he certainly will be in a general. One poll last week had 31% having a favorable view toward socialism, and 60% had a negative view toward socialism. Every other word you hear in commercials and on political talk shows will be socialism. And another article last week pointed out that the RNC issued 19 tweets the prior week about the Dem candidates - all were either anti-Hillary or supportive of Bernie. Make no mistake, they want to run against Bernie. Making things worse, the support for Bernie among African Americans and Latinos is tepid at best, and that turnout would certainly be way less than it was for Obama. Add to that, no senate candidate outside of Russ Feingold will want to be seen in the same picture as Bernie. And the electoral math is bad for him. Ain't no way he wins VA, and he likely gives back the gains the Dems have made in the mountain west in CO, NV and NM. His best shot would probably be if Trump were the Pub nominee, and Bloomberg got in as a 3rd party candidate.
I'm beginning to believe the best thing that could happen right about now is an indictment.
If Bernie were to win the nomination, it looks even more bleak. He hasn't been hit hard so far, but he certainly will be in a general. One poll last week had 31% having a favorable view toward socialism, and 60% had a negative view toward socialism. Every other word you hear in commercials and on political talk shows will be socialism. And another article last week pointed out that the RNC issued 19 tweets the prior week about the Dem candidates - all were either anti-Hillary or supportive of Bernie. Make no mistake, they want to run against Bernie. Making things worse, the support for Bernie among African Americans and Latinos is tepid at best, and that turnout would certainly be way less than it was for Obama. Add to that, no senate candidate outside of Russ Feingold will want to be seen in the same picture as Bernie. And the electoral math is bad for him. Ain't no way he wins VA, and he likely gives back the gains the Dems have made in the mountain west in CO, NV and NM. His best shot would probably be if Trump were the Pub nominee, and Bloomberg got in as a 3rd party candidate.
I'm beginning to believe the best thing that could happen right about now is an indictment.