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Trump Will Win the Nomination

ChrisL68 said:
Berniebros are drinking the kool-aid on this, but it isn't true.
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You're also the guy that said Elizabeth Warren would have had no chance to win the nomination or the general election. I don't take your opinions seriously on these matters.
 
Someone ran the data and the H2H polls for the general in February (like trump vs clinton, trump vs bernie, rubio vs clinton, etc) when run against actual general election results only have an r squared of like 0.25 historically. That's compared to 0.5 for mid summer polls and 0.95 right before election.

Cliffs: the H2H democrat vs republican polls released now are not super predictive, historically
 
deacvision7 said:
You're also the guy that said Elizabeth Warren would have had no chance to win the nomination or the general election. I don't take your opinions seriously on these matters.
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Warren would have run away with this thing. She has Bernie and Hillary's positives without the negatives while still being a fresh face.
 
FckVwls said:
Someone ran the data and the H2H polls for the general in February (like trump vs clinton, trump vs bernie, rubio vs clinton, etc) when run against actual general election results only have an r squared of like 0.25 historically. That's compared to 0.5 for mid summer polls and 0.95 right before election.

Cliffs: the H2H democrat vs republican polls released now are not super predictive, historically
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Fascinating. Link?
 
BobStackFan4Life said:
Bernie would beat Trump. Hillary will not.
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Sorry pal, disagree with you on this. When the rubber hits the road Dump will shoot himself in the foot and show the public what a douche he really is. With that said, I still believe he won't even get the nomination and ride into the sunset as an independent.
 
deacvision7 said:
You're also the guy that said Elizabeth Warren would have had no chance to win the nomination or the general election. I don't take your opinions seriously on these matters.
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PhDeac said:
Warren would have run away with this thing. She has Bernie and Hillary's positives without the negatives while still being a fresh face.
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deacvision7 said:
Thanks buddy! That was my underlying point.
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Do you have an example where I said that Elizabeth Warren would have no chance to win the president? Because I don't recall ever saying that. I do recall saying that she would have a better chance than Sanders.

I am not surprised that the liberal adoration society here thinks she would "run away" with it. Some of you think Sanders still has a chance and that he would fare well in a general election.

I think if Warren was as confident in her chances as you guys are, she would have run this cycle.
 
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ChrisL68 said:
Do you have an example where I said that Elizabeth Warren would have no chance to win the president? Because I don't recall ever saying that. I do recall saying that she would have a better chance than Sanders.

I am not surprised that the liberal adoration society here thinks she would "run away" with it. Some of you think Sanders still has a chance and that he would fare well in a general election.

I think if Warren was as confident in her chances as you guys are, she would have run this cycle.
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Disagree with your last paragraph. And this is what pisses me off about how much the party bows to the Clintons. Warren and Gillibrand would have been preferable candidates to Clinton, but they and all other serious candidates sat out this race because the Clintons are Dem royalty. And especially with Warren and Gillibrand, I believe neither wanted to be the woman who contested Hillary Rodham Clinton in a Dem primary out of fear of a backlash.
 
Agreed. Again, people don't appreciate the stones it took for Obama to run in 2008. He took on the party apparatus head on.
 
DeacsPop said:
Sorry pal, disagree with you on this. When the rubber hits the road Dump will shoot himself in the foot and show the public what a douche he really is. With that said, I still believe he won't even get the nomination and ride into the sunset as an independent.
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Respectfully disagree. Trump's been a household name for three decades and nobody's undecided about his douche worthiness at this point. RNC and GOP eunuchs are terrified of him for fear of reprisal and the hollow threat of an independent run and haven't even tried to unravel his messy business deals and personal life. Obama's campaign destroyed relatively squeaky clean Romney with minimal effort. Trump's got way more skeletons and the Clintons are way more ruthless.

An independent run was never going to happen, but Trump's pulled the football away from the GOP too many times already. Barring unforeseen disasters on Super Tuesday and March 15, Trump will be the GOP nominee. He'll get slimed big time in the general election and leave his kids with a worthless mountain of crappy hats. May literally still want to fuck Ivanka, but Uday and Quesay are figuratively getting buggered too.
 
cville deac said:
Disagree with your last paragraph. And this is what pisses me off about how much the party bows to the Clintons. Warren and Gillibrand would have been preferable candidates to Clinton, but they and all other serious candidates sat out this race because the Clintons are Dem royalty. And especially with Warren and Gillibrand, I believe neither wanted to be the woman who contested Hillary Rodham Clinton in a Dem primary out of fear of a backlash.
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It pisses me off too and if for some reason Trump is not the nominee, HRC has a pretty good chance to lose. If that happens the Dem party will finally wash their hands of the Clintons and move on. If Biden's son never dies (God rest his soul), I really don't think we are having this conversation as he and Gillibrand are as good as in the white house for the next 8 years.
 
ChrisL68 said:
Do you have an example where I said that Elizabeth Warren would have no chance to win the president? Because I don't recall ever saying that. I do recall saying that she would have a better chance than Sanders.

I am not surprised that the liberal adoration society here thinks she would "run away" with it. Some of you think Sanders still has a chance and that he would fare well in a general election.

I think if Warren was as confident in her chances as you guys are, she would have run this cycle.
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Sure.


ChrisL68 said:
Lets see.

Her populist attacks on corporate income taxes are extreme (mostly based on incorrect assumptions based on looking an financial reporting for corporations) based on the belief that the US can tax the worldwide profits of every company domiciled here at the US rate.

Her beliefs that we can fund major entitlement expansions by taxing rich people and corporations.

Her beliefs that the US should pay for the college education of everybody

Now you can sit here and stamp your feet that everybody doesn't agree with your take that Warren is a moderate and be aghast at the electorate when she got destroyed in the general election.......or not. I really don't care.
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ChrisL68 said:
One good thing is maybe this ends the Elizabeth Warren pipe dream out of the left.
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I think Elizabeth Warren is kicking herself right now based on how well Sanders is doing. She would be doing even better than he is, IMO.
 
DG3 said:
No it wasn't. Don't backpedal.
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PC police over here. Let's be clear, there's absolutely nothing wrong with you and 2&2 pumping each other. Unlike Scalia, I fully support your and 2&2's right to engage in buttsex, regardless of who is the top and who is the bottom, give each other rim jobs, whatever type of ass play the two of you are into really, get legally married, have full equal rights, have kids, make end of life decisions, etc. Go for it boys, you have my full support emotionally and politically.
 
Donald Trump on Protester: ‘I’d Like to Punch Him in the Face’

On the eve of what could be Mr. Trump’s third consecutive victory among a fractured Republican presidential field, the protester — the third one to interrupt him at the event and who Mr. Trump said had thrown punches at security guards — really drew the candidate’s ire. As the man was being escorted away, Mr. Trump repeatedly told the crowd that he wished for the “old days,” adding, “You know what they used to do to guys like that when they were in a place like this? They’d be carried out on a stretcher.”

“I’d like to punch him in the face, I’ll tell ya,” Mr. Trump added.
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He also made sure to remind his supporters about the importance of “voting” — he said he hated the word “caucusing” — and told them that they should go into Tuesday night expecting a tie, to help energize them.

But he also issued a warning to them: “Don’t make me have a miserable evening.”
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