Evan Bayh is coming back to run for US Senate in Indiana. And will win.
It's Indiana. This is revolutionary.
When Trump issued an emergency 24 hour fundraising request for $100K, he had $1.3M cash on hand. Bayh still has $9M on hand. IN's a swing state in name only (just like New Mexico), flipped once in the last six presidential elections. Was a back burner (behind AZ, GA, and MO) until today. If Pence isn't Trump's VP, Dems will invest in IN to prop up Bayh and pick off Pence.
Indiana is not a swing state in name or in reality. It took an epically bad McCain candidate to barely lose to a generational candidate like '08 Obama. Bayh will still win the senate seat.
How are you so sure? I get that he and his dad had long careers there, but he lost his last election, and IN is a very white and conservative state. I still think Hillary will get schlonged there. So is there going to be crossover vote down ticket for Bayh? Is it more that Coates is retiring, and the Pub nominee is weak? I confess this was a senate seat I had paid no attention to until today. I mean, I had AZ, MO, AR and LA as more likely pick-ups until now.
How are you so sure? I get that he and his dad had long careers there, but he lost his last election, and IN is a very white and conservative state. I still think Hillary will get schlonged there. So is there going to be crossover vote down ticket for Bayh? Is it more that Coates is retiring, and the Pub nominee is weak? I confess this was a senate seat I had paid no attention to until today. I mean, I had AZ, MO, AR and LA as more likely pick-ups until now.
Bayh retired in 2010, he didn't get defeated. As far as I can tell, he's never lost in IN. Does create a bit of a dilemma for Dems. Would love the Senate pick up, but IN's a tough state for them. IN's slightly more strategic for Dems than MO, but they'd much rather pick up AZ and NC.
What's the dilemma? Bayh has $10MM to spend.
Thanks for the responses. Sabato's site is calling the IN senate race a toss-up. EV.com hasn't updated their senate page yet. Here's what I don't get about IN. Trump will win IN in all likelihood. So if Bayh is going to win, he needs crossover votes. What Trump voter is going to cross over for 1 of the ultimate Washington establishment type insiders in Bayh? I mean, I get that in NH, there may well be a fair amount of crossover with folks voting Clinton and Ayotte. And maybe some Clinton and Rubio voters in FL or Clinton and Heck in NV. But in states like AZ and IN, I have a hard time seeing folks pull the lever for Trump and then Kirkpatrick or Bayh. Is it a cognitive dissonance kind of thing where a Trump voter at the same time thinks back to Bayh being an alright guy who brought home the bacon?
Random note: this is Dan Quale's old seat, which he resigned in 1988 when he was elected VP. He had previously defeated Birch Bayh in 1980. Dan Coats was appointed to the seat in 88, and held it until he retired in 98. Bayh then won the seat and held until he retired in 2010. Coats then ran again and won, deciding to retire in 2016. Bayh will likely get it back in 2016.
This means that although three guys have held the seat since 1980-2022, none of them lost an election.
Hillary haters.
Thanks, BSD. How did Cruz blowing the elaborate Hoosiers "ring" skit or getting heckled by 'necks play in IN? Next to the Little Marco nickname, two most hilarious moments in the entire GOP primary.
Is it really that simple? I mean, I hate Hillary too and will probably vote Johnson if he's viable, but that's doubtful. But how is Hillary worse than Trump? And at least with Hillary, the trains will run on time, the economy will continue its slog back, and we'll have a middle of the road foreign policy (and have judicial appointments I like). With Trump, we'll have trade wars, the economy will likely turn south, he'll befriend dictators, and god knows what would happen with foreign policy. The new normal may not be as good as the old days, but it could be a whole lot worse. Like let's see what happens with the UK, er England, because the UK is about to go bye bye.
Is it really that simple? I mean, I hate Hillary too and will probably vote Johnson if he's viable, but that's doubtful. But how is Hillary worse than Trump? And at least with Hillary, the trains will run on time, the economy will continue its slog back, and we'll have a middle of the road foreign policy (and have judicial appointments I like). With Trump, we'll have trade wars, the economy will likely turn south, he'll befriend dictators, and god knows what would happen with foreign policy. The new normal may not be as good as the old days, but it could be a whole lot worse. Like let's see what happens with the UK, er England, because the UK is about to go bye bye.