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'17 Specials & '18 Midterms Thread

[h=1]Senate candidate’s parents donate maximum amount to his opponent[/h]


The parents of a GOP candidate for the US Senate in Wisconsin have made the maximum contributions allowed in the race — to their son’s rival.
Kevin Nicholson announced in July that he would seek the Republican nomination to challenge incumbent Sen. Tammy Baldwin in the 2018 midterm elections.
In December, his parents, Donna and Michael Nicholson, each donated the maximum amount — $2,700 — to Baldwin, CNN reported.
Nicholson said he’s not surprised his parents would contribute to Baldwin, since they’ve always backed Democrats.
“My parents have a different worldview than I do, and it is not surprising that they would support a candidate like Tammy Baldwin who shares their perspective,” he said in a statement to CNN.
 
PhDeac said:
[h=1]Senate candidate’s parents donate maximum amount to his opponent[/h]


The parents of a GOP candidate for the US Senate in Wisconsin have made the maximum contributions allowed in the race — to their son’s rival.
Kevin Nicholson announced in July that he would seek the Republican nomination to challenge incumbent Sen. Tammy Baldwin in the 2018 midterm elections.
In December, his parents, Donna and Michael Nicholson, each donated the maximum amount — $2,700 — to Baldwin, CNN reported.
Nicholson said he’s not surprised his parents would contribute to Baldwin, since they’ve always backed Democrats.
“My parents have a different worldview than I do, and it is not surprising that they would support a candidate like Tammy Baldwin who shares their perspective,” he said in a statement to CNN.
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One of my former co-workers posted an article about this on FB with the caption "This Alex P. Keaton scenario may be my greatest fear as a parent"
 
If Democrats Win These Seats, They're Taking Back Congress

California’s 22nd Congressional District (Central Valley)
2016: Clinton 43–Trump 52
2012: Obama 42–Romney 57
2008: Obama 42–McCain 55

Yes, the 22nd has a pronounced Republican lean. But the incumbent is that motherfucking piece of shit Devin Nunes. His attempts to subvert democracy at every turn are hurting his popularity, as a recent poll showed him up only 5 points on his main challenger, prosecutor Andrew Janz. Also keep an eye on how he does in California’s June blanket primary. If he gets less than 55 percent or so it means he’ll be in trouble come November, when the electorate should be even more liberal.
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California primaries should be interesting this year.
 
New PA map:

DWbD_2EVQAAILoa.jpg


For comparison, old PA map:

pa-congressional-map-jpg-b987a30e710abaefjpg-3db8a039b2ba9a56.jpg


Republicans still plan to fight it in federal courts.

Pa. Supreme Court to offer new congressional map in gerrymandering saga. Here's what to expect.

In the days since, the groups have continued to fight. Sunday night, Scarnati and Turzai wrote to the state Supreme Court that it should accept their map, calling it “the best overall plan” and saying it creates the largest number of competitive districts. They also told the court that some of the maps should be rejected outright and accused Lt. Gov. Mike Stack and Senate Democrats, in their proposals, of attempting to gerrymander in their own favor, saying those maps were “deliberately drawn to pack Republican voters into a limited number of uncompetitive districts and to cement a 10-8 Democratic majority.”
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IamThunderbolt said:
is there any data that shows how those maps would have affected the '16 outcome (didn't read link)?
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It is early as these maps were just released, there will likely be analyses up later today or tomorrow. But yes, PA is so gerrymandered that any change would likely have changed the 2016 outcome. Republicans currently hold 13 of 18 seats in a purple/blueish state.
 
Here is the article on the new map:
http://www.philly.com/philly/news/p...sional-districts-2018-elections-20180219.html
Its plan splits only 13 counties. Of those, four counties are split into three districts and nine are split into two districts. By contrast the most recent map, enacted in 2011, split 28 counties.
It also includes significant changes to the state map, including dividing Philadelphia into only two congressional districts; currently three House members represent parts of the city.

In another win for local Democrats, the fourth district is centered on Montgomery County. Critics of the map adopted in 2011 often pointed to Montgomery County, which was split into five districts in that plan and had no member of congress living in the county. Bucks, Chester, and Delaware counties also receive districts based largely on their areas.

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It looks a lot more straight-forward than the old map. Only the largest counties should be split and even then split as little as possible. Splitting a county 5 ways is blatantly trying to achieve a partisan objective. I'm curious why the Montgomery County district has a little divot taken out and takes a little piece of its northern neighbor. The county has 800,000 people.
 
 
And there goes any hope that Romney will stand up to Trump.

I hope Evan McMullin puts his hat in the ring.
 
If he was going to run as a rational Republican who is going to stand up to Trump and restore sensibility to the GOP, he wouldn't accept the endorsement.
 
marquee moon said:
In Utah?
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Yeah.

https://www.cnn.com/2018/02/17/politics/utah-romney-perfect-anti-trump/index.html

[h=1]Romney picked the perfect state to be an anti-Trump Republican[/h]
Romney couldn't have chosen a better state to be an anti-Trump Republican than Utah.
Utah was one of Trump's worst state performances during the 2016 primary season. Trump garnered just 14% of the vote and finished in third place behind Ted Cruz and John Kasich. Along with Minnesota, it was the only state where delegates were assigned in a caucus or primary (not a convention) in which Trump finished below second place. In no other state did Trump garner less than 20% of the vote.


Republican dislike of Trump in the state translated to the general election. In the 28 states with an exit poll, Trump's performance among Utah Republicans was by far the worst among Republicans.


He won a relatively low 64% of Utah Republicans. In the average state, Trump won 88% of Republicans. Besides Utah, he never won less than 84% of Republican voters. And don't forget that Evan McMullin's longshot independent bid for President in 2016 was largely centered on Utah.

...

Trump had a net approval rating of just +1 percentage point in Utah during 2017, according to Gallup. That's a 26 percentage point difference with the Republican party identification edge. And while Trump tended to underperform the party identification in most states, he averaged just a 9-point difference. The 26-point gap in Utah was the largest of any state.


Indeed, there's little sign that Trump has made Utah any less Republican. Romney has led heavily in surveys taken of the race. Anti-Trump Republican John Curtis won a primary and a general election in a special House election in Utah in late 2017.


The bottom line is that Romney is running in the perfect state to be a anti-Trump Republican. He's in a strong position to take advantage of the the fact that 39% of Utah voters held an unfavorable view of both Hillary Clinton and Trump in 2016. No other state came anywhere close to as many people disliking both of them.



https://morningconsult.com/tracking-trump/

Trump only has 46% approval to 49% disapproval in Utah, a very heavily Republican state.

By the way, this poll showed the state in which Trump has the highest support is Alabama (63%/33%). Republicans are in trouble.
 
That’s a special brand of hypocrisy there for Mitt. Even in the current era of seemingly unbridled spinelessness
 
They all always kiss the ring. Republicans have always fallen in line. It’s what they do.
 
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