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'17 Specials & '18 Midterms Thread

Lee Bright, the currently leader for SC district 4, is a piece of work.

The states’ rights advocate once quipped that “if at first you don’t secede, try again” and proposed creating a study committee for the state to create its own currency. He railed against welfare programs, arguing if people are able-bodied and don’t work, “they shouldn’t eat.”

He championed legislation that aligned with his conservative values but did not pass, including bills aimed at protecting fetuses at conception, bills to exempt South Carolina-made guns from federal regulation and to allow gun owners to carry guns without a state permit, as well as legislation to instruct students on the use of firearms.

He voted against state budgets and against the lowering of the Confederate flag from the Statehouse grounds following the shooting deaths of nine African-Americans by a white supremacist at a Charleston Church.

“It didn’t take any courage to take it down,” he said, “especially in my district, it took courage to keep it up.”

http://www.thestate.com/news/politics-government/article123270564.html

Good day for confederate fetishists.
 
Marc Sanford concedes- its the first election he has ever lost. I think he is a douche but he is muuuuuch better than what we will end up with in that seat. Republican party is no longer- its just a Trump loyalist party at this point.
 
Aside from his notable personal failings, Sanford seems like decent enough guy and a good politician.
 

As a reminder, Scott Walker didn't want to call a special election for this seat because he was afraid the Republicans would lose. Democrats sued him and a judge ordered Walker to hold a special election.
 
He should have stopped all those illegal Canadians from crossing the border to vote.
 
Mark Sanford is a member of the House Freedom Caucus. In 2016 he faced a primary challenger that ran as more of a centrist, and got almost 45% of the vote in the Republican primary.

Yesterday he lost because he wasn't deferential enough to Trump.

Virginia GOP nominee for Senate, running against Tim Kaine:

 

Meh, no credible Pub really wanted to lose to Kaine, so the 3 who ran were really right wing nutjobs. The 3rd place guy is a preacher who actually said that yoga can lead to devil worship. Bolling probably would have run had Kaine become veep. Bolling is a decent enough establishment Pub who got screwed by his own party when they chose to have a caucus instead of a primarty (which he would have won) when they nominated Kookinelli instead of him. Actually, the Pubs screwed themselves because Bolling would have beaten McAuliffe pretty easily, but Kookinelli was too right wing for independents and establishment types. As for Stewart, he was Trump a decade before Trump became Trump - he's a white nativist who hates Latinos.

Good night for Dems in VA. Kaine is now safer unless he goes on a mass murdering spree. And Wexton won, and she was probably the Dems best shot at VA-10 - is probably a favorite now. VA-10 is similar to the places in the state where the Dems picked up 16 house of delagate seats last year - well educated lily white exurbs. With the redistricting of Bobby Scott's district and 1 other, it went from 8 Pub seats and 3 Dem seats to 7 and 4. Now it will likely be 6 and 5, which pretty accurately fits where VA is politically. I had beers with a couple of active Dem party types a week ago, and they actually believe VA-5 (from just north of Cville down to the NC line and including Rocky Mount) could be a Dem pick-up. It's a pretty heavily Pub district, and the Pubs got their preferred candidate, a Nelson distiller and tea bagger over a Liberty U activist, so I'm not drinking that koolaid yet. But 1 of them was saying that our nominee is doing much better south side than previous Dem contenders, and she's well funded.
 
Would not call Wexton a favorite over the Republican incumbent Barbara Comstock in the VA-10 race. While that District has been trending toward the Dems, Hilary carried it by 5 points over Trump, Comstock is an increasingly rare middle of the road Republican that a lot of anti-Trump voters can support (despite Hilary winning the District, Comstock won her race by 6 points in 2016); Constock has consistently distanced herself from Trump. Turn-out may be a determining factor, and who knows what hot button issues will arise over the next 5 months before the election, but the VA-10 race is a toss up (btw, because it will be closely contested, a ridiculous amount of money will be spent on that race).
 
What do you think about VA-2? Tough to take down an incumbent that has won with some wide margins, but it looks like the district narrowly voted for Northam in 2017.

There's also the Corey Stewart factor:

 
What do you think about VA-2? Tough to take down an incumbent that has won with some wide margins, but it looks like the district narrowly voted for Northam in 2017.

There's also the Corey Stewart factor:


I'll defer to Pilch and call VA-10 a toss-up. VA-2 has been fools gold for Dems for the last 2 decades plus. The only time it went blue, like VA-5, was in 2008. But VA-2, unlike VA-5 is usually close and has gone Dem for president a few times. It contains the heavily Pub Eastern Shore, aka the land that time forgot, Williamsburg and the VA Beach area, which is purple with a lot of military folks. I'd rate VA-10 the easiest get, with VA-2 fairly closely behind that, and VA-5 as a stretch. As for the Corey Stewart effect, he'll hurt the Pub ticket more in VA-10 and VA-2 than he will in VA-5. Stewart being on the ticket might even be of assistance in the GOTV in the southern 2/3 of VA-5.
 
Interesting to have the 2016 presidential, a 2018 statewide election, and this special to compare in Wisconsin:

 
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