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Judge Moore accused of sexually assaulting/pursuing underage girls in his 30s

The liberal bastion of Alabama, which it’s probably safe to assume is named after Robert E Lee?

Not a liberal bastion. Trump won the county by nearly 14,000 votes / 24% points in 2016. And yes it is named after Robert E. Lee.
 
FFS are there any authentic republican human beings? i wonder if he can actually shoot a gun.

 
Was it a special election in '16? Would guess it's lowering the expectations because it's a special election.
 
Was it a special election in '16? Would guess it's lowering the expectations because it's a special election.

No. The presidential election. Getting near 3/4 of a Presidential election turnout for a special election would be HUGE. I guess it's possible because this is an election that could go both ways, but I really doubt it.
 
Damn, it looks like the Republicans will lock up the total land victory again. So many conservative rocks. Dems should get on that.
 
I’ve got Moore by 8 points or mo(o)re. I’d be more surprised if it’s within 5 points than if it’s over 15.

I’m thinking 54-42 Moore.
 
I’ve got Moore by 8 points or mo(o)re. I’d be more surprised if it’s within 5 points than if it’s over 15.

I’m thinking 54-42 Moore.

Can you explain your process?
 
I’ve got Moore by 8 points or mo(o)re. I’d be more surprised if it’s within 5 points than if it’s over 15.

I’m thinking 54-42 Moore.

I haven't done my own polling, but my feeling is it's going to be a lot closer than that.

Being an eternal optimist, I think Dems won either way here. Having him in the Senate will be a huge headache for leadership, and having a new ethics investigation into this will be fun. But, it would clearly be better for him to lose. Dems gain the vote, and Trump goes 0-2 on Alabama senate candidates.
 
I haven't done my own polling, but my feeling is it's going to be a lot closer than that.

Being an eternal optimist, I think Dems won either way here. Having him in the Senate will be a huge headache for leadership, and having a new ethics investigation into this will be fun. But, it would clearly be better for him to lose. Dems gain the vote, and Trump goes 0-2 on Alabama senate candidates.

do you normally do your own polling?
 
I’ve got Moore by 8 points or mo(o)re. I’d be more surprised if it’s within 5 points than if it’s over 15.

I’m thinking 54-42 Moore.

Jones has done a great job of appealing to establishment Republicans who voted for Strange and respect Richard Shelby, so I actually think he's done all he can on that front. Hopefully the ones who can't get behind Jones because of abortion just won't vote. The rube-publicans are going to come out in force, but the GOTV effort has been excellent; I just hope it hasn't been too Birmingham-centric. We've already had Corey Booker, Joe Biden, Charles Barkley and Uzo Adubo all come and rally for Jones, and that combined with a very young, enthusiastic, charismatic mayor-elect will hopefully help to churn out record numbers in Birmingham.
 
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