Which county? I want to feel optimistic about this, but I think it’s going to signal a rout for Moore.
Lee County. Where Auburn and Opelika are located, semi-big cities by Alabama standards anyway.
Which county? I want to feel optimistic about this, but I think it’s going to signal a rout for Moore.
Lee County. Where Auburn and Opelika are located, semi-big cities by Alabama standards anyway.
Lee County. Where Auburn and Opelika are located, semi-big cities by Alabama standards anyway.
The liberal bastion of Alabama, which it’s probably safe to assume is named after Robert E Lee?
74% White, 23% Black.
Not a liberal bastion. Trump won the county by nearly 14,000 votes / 24% points in 2016. And yes it is named after Robert E. Lee.
One of the 538 guys put together of model of what he expects each candidate to need by county to be on track to win.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet...pxu2ab3ug9_XEt6R9vMcw/htmlview?sle=true#gid=0
Was it a special election in '16? Would guess it's lowering the expectations because it's a special election.
I’ve got Moore by 8 points or mo(o)re. I’d be more surprised if it’s within 5 points than if it’s over 15.
I’m thinking 54-42 Moore.
Can you explain your process?
I’ve got Moore by 8 points or mo(o)re. I’d be more surprised if it’s within 5 points than if it’s over 15.
I’m thinking 54-42 Moore.
Its fucking Alabama. What more process do you need?
I haven't done my own polling, but my feeling is it's going to be a lot closer than that.
Being an eternal optimist, I think Dems won either way here. Having him in the Senate will be a huge headache for leadership, and having a new ethics investigation into this will be fun. But, it would clearly be better for him to lose. Dems gain the vote, and Trump goes 0-2 on Alabama senate candidates.
I’ve got Moore by 8 points or mo(o)re. I’d be more surprised if it’s within 5 points than if it’s over 15.
I’m thinking 54-42 Moore.