Pilchard
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- May 3, 2011
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2017-8 Season: GT is 11-14 (4-8) and 1-7 on the road (the one road win coming at dreadful Pitt). Top 100 wins: #81 Northwestern by 1, #37 Miami by 10, #41 ND by 7 and #46 Cuse by 4. GT has lost 7 of their last 8 and 5 of those losses have been by double digits. Their best player, Josh Okogie, missed the first 8 games of the season, and the Jacket head coach has been accused of sexual harassment (Pastner has denied the allegations). Safe to say, GT's season has been a disaster. In addition to the Jacket's ACC struggles, GT has lost to #275 Grambling, #184 Wofford, #138 Wright State. Stinky.
Offense: GT has the ACC's #14 offense (WF is #13). They are below average in every offensive category, and the Jackets particularly stink at shooting the ball. They are 14th in the ACC in 3 point FG %, 12th in 2 PT FG% and 14th in effective FG%. They also turn the ball over (13th in TO%), and they don't get to the line often (10th in FTA per FGA). The 3 point shot is not a large part of the Jacket offense as they are DFL in the conference in the amount of offense (only 23% of the offense comes from the 3 point shot). The Jackets do not play at a fast tempo (#11 in the ACC).
Defense: GT is a solid defensive team - #5 in the ACC. They (Ben Lammers) defend the paint well as they are #3 in the ACC in block % and #5 in 2 PT FG% defense. GT Center Ben Lammers was the ACC defensive POY last year, and he is a presence in the paint. GT does get called for a lot of fouls on defense as they are #11 in FTA per FGA on defense.
Roster: The Jackets start Jose Alvarado (6-0 - frosh), Brandon Alston (6-5 Lehigh transfer), Josh Okogie (6-4), Abdoulaye Gueye (6-9) and Lammers (6-10). GT has a short bench as reserves Curtis Haywood and Justin Moore have been out for more than a month. Tadric Jackson (6-2) gets the most minutes off the bench, and he is not a threat from 3 (25%). The matchup with Okogie is going to be big for WF, and he has been on a roll in ACC play scoring 29 versus Duke and 25 against L'ville in GT's last two games. Would think Chaundee would be the WF player best suited to guard Okogie.
Bottom Line: KP projects a 72-67 WF win. The Vegas line is 5.5 with the O/U set at 138.5. WF beat GT last year 81-69 at WF (Wilbekin had 16). The combined record of these two teams over the last month is 2-14; bad basketball. Given that GT has been so awful on the road (1-7) and given that WF has won two conference games at home, WF does have the edge, but this game will likely be a struggle as scoring guards have torched WF all year (see, Tyus Battle with 34 on Sunday); fully expect Okogie to score big particularly if WF plays its small lineup.
Offense: GT has the ACC's #14 offense (WF is #13). They are below average in every offensive category, and the Jackets particularly stink at shooting the ball. They are 14th in the ACC in 3 point FG %, 12th in 2 PT FG% and 14th in effective FG%. They also turn the ball over (13th in TO%), and they don't get to the line often (10th in FTA per FGA). The 3 point shot is not a large part of the Jacket offense as they are DFL in the conference in the amount of offense (only 23% of the offense comes from the 3 point shot). The Jackets do not play at a fast tempo (#11 in the ACC).
Defense: GT is a solid defensive team - #5 in the ACC. They (Ben Lammers) defend the paint well as they are #3 in the ACC in block % and #5 in 2 PT FG% defense. GT Center Ben Lammers was the ACC defensive POY last year, and he is a presence in the paint. GT does get called for a lot of fouls on defense as they are #11 in FTA per FGA on defense.
Roster: The Jackets start Jose Alvarado (6-0 - frosh), Brandon Alston (6-5 Lehigh transfer), Josh Okogie (6-4), Abdoulaye Gueye (6-9) and Lammers (6-10). GT has a short bench as reserves Curtis Haywood and Justin Moore have been out for more than a month. Tadric Jackson (6-2) gets the most minutes off the bench, and he is not a threat from 3 (25%). The matchup with Okogie is going to be big for WF, and he has been on a roll in ACC play scoring 29 versus Duke and 25 against L'ville in GT's last two games. Would think Chaundee would be the WF player best suited to guard Okogie.
Bottom Line: KP projects a 72-67 WF win. The Vegas line is 5.5 with the O/U set at 138.5. WF beat GT last year 81-69 at WF (Wilbekin had 16). The combined record of these two teams over the last month is 2-14; bad basketball. Given that GT has been so awful on the road (1-7) and given that WF has won two conference games at home, WF does have the edge, but this game will likely be a struggle as scoring guards have torched WF all year (see, Tyus Battle with 34 on Sunday); fully expect Okogie to score big particularly if WF plays its small lineup.
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