Scenario 1- horrible season and Manning is fired, wasted another year
Scenario 2- Manning is able to make significant progress, say winning a game in the real tournament. He finally comes into his own and we go on a run of success.
Scenario 3- Manning is able to make significant progress, say winning a game in the tournament, this is a low bar but somehow leads to job security for 2-3 more years in which he regresses to previous seasons and we wasted 2-3 years.
People think scenario one is going to happen, would love scenario 2 to happen, and really scared scenario 3 will happen.