Here's the draw and morning line:
POST HORSE ODDS
1 Justify 4-5
2 Free Drop Billy 30-1
3 Bravazo 8-1
4 Hofburg 9-2
5 Restoring Hope 30-1
6 Gronkowski 12-1
7 Tenfold 12-1
8 Vino Rosso 8-1
9 Noble Indy 30-1
10 Blended Citizen 15-1
The rail is not bad for Justify as he will be going for the lead. His biggest worry is that someone might want to cook him on the lead to stop a Triple Crown like they did to Smarty Jones.
Hofburg was the wise guy horse in the KY Derby. Trainer Bill Mott never rushes his horses. He rarely has Derby starters, yet he put this horse into the race with only three previous starts. Bringing him back for the Belmont is also curious. If the race breaks down, he has a shot.
Bravazo may have beaten Justify if the Preakness was another furlong. He has the best shot here, but not if Justify is given an easy lead.
Vino Rosso loves NY, but isn't that good.
Tenfold is the hot horse. Like his daddy, Curlin (who was a late bloomer), he appears to be getting better. He could be in the mix.
Gronkowski will get extra bets due to his name and a couple of decent races in Europe. Not sure about his comp.
It's counter-intuitive to think that a horse can lead and win a 1 1/2 mile race, but it often happens.
Right now, it looks like a Justify/Bravazo exacta again, but that won't pay much. Maybe Tenfold for second.
We'll look more later. I may be looking at a Pick 4 again.
POST HORSE ODDS
1 Justify 4-5
2 Free Drop Billy 30-1
3 Bravazo 8-1
4 Hofburg 9-2
5 Restoring Hope 30-1
6 Gronkowski 12-1
7 Tenfold 12-1
8 Vino Rosso 8-1
9 Noble Indy 30-1
10 Blended Citizen 15-1
The rail is not bad for Justify as he will be going for the lead. His biggest worry is that someone might want to cook him on the lead to stop a Triple Crown like they did to Smarty Jones.
Hofburg was the wise guy horse in the KY Derby. Trainer Bill Mott never rushes his horses. He rarely has Derby starters, yet he put this horse into the race with only three previous starts. Bringing him back for the Belmont is also curious. If the race breaks down, he has a shot.
Bravazo may have beaten Justify if the Preakness was another furlong. He has the best shot here, but not if Justify is given an easy lead.
Vino Rosso loves NY, but isn't that good.
Tenfold is the hot horse. Like his daddy, Curlin (who was a late bloomer), he appears to be getting better. He could be in the mix.
Gronkowski will get extra bets due to his name and a couple of decent races in Europe. Not sure about his comp.
It's counter-intuitive to think that a horse can lead and win a 1 1/2 mile race, but it often happens.
Right now, it looks like a Justify/Bravazo exacta again, but that won't pay much. Maybe Tenfold for second.
We'll look more later. I may be looking at a Pick 4 again.