Page 468 of 468 FirstFirst ... 368418458463464465466467468
Results 9,341 to 9,347 of 9347

Thread: 2020 Democratic Presidential Nominees

  1. #9341
    I disagree with you
    ImTheCaptain's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Pennsylvania
    Posts
    41,703
    Why separate knob?!

  2. #9342
    Quote Originally Posted by AsesinoDeTortugas View Post
    Well for starters, gambling websites have a vested interest in putting Trump as the favorite because people will bet on him. Add in the fact that he's the only guaranteed person to be on the 2020 ballot and it makes sense that he has the best odds right now.

    Also pretty much every head to head poll between Democratic candidates and Trump has shown at worst a dead heat and for most they have polling advantages over Trump. And that's without having the benefit of having all Democratic support behind them and inferior name recognition. Trump is only a favorite for the 2020 election for those that want to see it that way. That being said, there's still a lot that the Democrats have to do to actually win.
    Political gambling sites aren't really banking on rube bets the way that regular sports gambling sites are banking on Dallas Cowboys bandwagonism. Different audience.

    The issue is not that Trump has the best odds. Of course he does as the presumptive nominee and incumbent. It is that he has dramatically better odds than any Dem and even more importantly, he is pretty much an even money bet against the field. The fucker is corrupt, nearly his whole administration has been shown to be incompetent and/or has left in shame, the Democrats have been overperforming in both the midterms and one-off elections, and he is going through an impeachment process! Still even money. That is an indicator that the odds makers don't think the Dems have their shit together (accurate) and that the front runners for the nomination all have obvious, easy-marketing flaws (also accurate, as RJ has consistently pointed out in this thread). If the economy is still churning and one of the four front runners is the D nominee, Trump will be an overwhelming favorite next fall. And that is pitiful.

    Praying that one of the late entries gets serious momentum quickly. Unlikely, however.
    Last edited by ABCDeac; Yesterday at 07:04 PM.

  3. #9343
    Scooter Banks

    Join Date
    Apr 2011
    Location
    Right here
    Posts
    7,565
    Look, we can either be idiots and blame a solid field of democratic candidates with good ideas and plans, or we can be accurate and blame racist American rubes, state sponsored extreme right media, and our fucked up election system.

  4. #9344
    Quote Originally Posted by ABCDeac View Post
    Political gambling sites aren't really banking on rube bets the way that regular sports gambling sites are banking on Dallas Cowboys bandwagonism. Different audience.

    The issue is not that Trump has the best odds. Of course he does as the presumptive nominee and incumbent. It is that he has dramatically better odds than any Dem and even more importantly, he is pretty much an even money bet against the field. The fucker is corrupt, nearly his whole administration has been shown to be incompetent and/or has left in shame, the Democrats have been overperforming in both the midterms and one-off elections, and he is going through an impeachment process! Still even money. That is an indicator that the odds makers don't think the Dems have their shit together (accurate) and that the front runners for the nomination all have obvious, easy-marketing flaws (also accurate, as RJ has consistently pointed out in this thread). If the economy is still churning and one of the four front runners is the D nominee, Trump will be an overwhelming favorite next fall. And that is pitiful.

    Praying that one of the late entries gets serious momentum quickly. Unlikely, however.
    Are you lurking or not?
    We're going to be good again.

  5. #9345
    No analysis into gambling odds for the election for Donald are needed beyond he is guaranteed to be on the ballot and nobody else is. It's why the various Coastal champs had drastically better odds than Wake to win the ACC - they all still had a better chance of getting to the actual game than anyone else in the Atlantic did.

    For general election odds just watch the "which party will win the 2020 presidential election" bet. When I checked a couple days ago those odds were both -115.

  6. #9346
    Quote Originally Posted by cville deac View Post
    Says more about the solid and rabid 42% or so who watch Fox 24/7.
    Nope. Hard disagree.

  7. #9347
    Quote Originally Posted by Shooshmoo View Post
    we can be accurate and blame racist American rubes, state sponsored extreme right media, and our fucked up election system.
    That plus 50 cents will buy you a couple gum balls

Tags for this Thread

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •