Pilchard
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Our Deacs play their regular season finale tomorrow at noon against the Florida State Seminoles. Here is the link to the earlier report on the Noles:
https://www.ogboards.com/forums/showthread.php/29384-KP-Report-on-the-Florida-State-Seminoles-8-pm-Tonight-ACC-Network-and-ESPN-3?highlight=KP+Report+Florida
Update: Did you know that the Noles have lost one game in the last 45 days? On January 20, FSU completed a two game road-trip with ghastly losses at Pitt and at BC to start the ACC season off 1-4. The Noles prospects looked grim at that point. Since then, FSU has won 11 of 12, and they have clinched a double bye and the #4 seed in the ACC Tournament -- after tomorrow's game, FSU will not play until 2:30 next Thursday in the ACC Quarters. FSU is currently 24-6 (12-5), and they could be as high as a #3 or #4 seed in the NCAA Tournament.
FSU remains balanced and deep as the Noles have 8 players averaging 6 points per game or more. Last time against a WF, a dominating 88-66 FSU win, the Noles, 7-4 C Christ Koumadje demolished the Deacs inside with a season high 20 points on 10 for 12 shooting. In the their last game, FSU didn't need Christ, as he was shutout and only played 7 minutes in a 73-64 OT win over VT. The last time FSU played at the Joel, January 31, 2018, WF pulled the 76-72 upset (Chaundee had 15 and Childress had 14).
Bottom line: KP projects a 76-65 FSU victory -- 15% chance of a WF win. Given that this game has little meaning for FSU and given their tendency to sleep walk against lesser opponents (FSU is 3-5 ATS against the bottom tier of the ACC), guessing that WF will keep the game within double digits. A slight lean to WF to cover.
https://www.ogboards.com/forums/showthread.php/29384-KP-Report-on-the-Florida-State-Seminoles-8-pm-Tonight-ACC-Network-and-ESPN-3?highlight=KP+Report+Florida
Update: Did you know that the Noles have lost one game in the last 45 days? On January 20, FSU completed a two game road-trip with ghastly losses at Pitt and at BC to start the ACC season off 1-4. The Noles prospects looked grim at that point. Since then, FSU has won 11 of 12, and they have clinched a double bye and the #4 seed in the ACC Tournament -- after tomorrow's game, FSU will not play until 2:30 next Thursday in the ACC Quarters. FSU is currently 24-6 (12-5), and they could be as high as a #3 or #4 seed in the NCAA Tournament.
FSU remains balanced and deep as the Noles have 8 players averaging 6 points per game or more. Last time against a WF, a dominating 88-66 FSU win, the Noles, 7-4 C Christ Koumadje demolished the Deacs inside with a season high 20 points on 10 for 12 shooting. In the their last game, FSU didn't need Christ, as he was shutout and only played 7 minutes in a 73-64 OT win over VT. The last time FSU played at the Joel, January 31, 2018, WF pulled the 76-72 upset (Chaundee had 15 and Childress had 14).
Bottom line: KP projects a 76-65 FSU victory -- 15% chance of a WF win. Given that this game has little meaning for FSU and given their tendency to sleep walk against lesser opponents (FSU is 3-5 ATS against the bottom tier of the ACC), guessing that WF will keep the game within double digits. A slight lean to WF to cover.