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Louisville Game Time - 7:30 ACCN

If 2006 had never happened we would all be losing our minds about this season. With a win this week Wake has a chance to get into the top 15; if we win the next three home games it is not impossible that Wake could be a top 10 team going into the VT game. That's bananas. If this team wins every game it is currently favored to win and gets 1 upset victory over Clemson then it will play in the college football playoff, and we're already nearly halfway there.

True, our wins to date haven't been spectacular, but they weren't in 2006 either. We barely escaped Syracuse, Duke, UNC, and NCSU. BC was a close win, but they were a good team unlike the others mentioned, and my recollection is that the UCONN game was closer than the score (24-13) indicates.

This team needs to get a lot better if it is going to take advantage of its opportunities, but there's room to grow. Looking forward to how they respond to the bye week. Will this team lose focus, or will it show us this is a different sort of Wake team?
 
Murderers Row to end the season though, with two on the road:

Clemson: 4
Duke: 44
Syracuse: 50

BTW, Wake is only #36.
 
ChrisL68 said:
I agree the teams seemed evenly matched.
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Agreed. Reality is we were a much better team than BC but either due to weather or coaching strategy we did not maximize the strength of our offense with passing as well as clearly a huge weakness of BC in passing D. We should have run them off the field with more scoring if we would have had a more balance attack as we did against everyone else (except for 2nd half vs. UNC where we ran ball more) Do we see a pattern here???

Clearly the Cards D is weak and we should put up lots of points and think our D is good enough to make some key stops and allow for a 10+ point victory especially with home crowd. Assuming we aren't careless with the ball.
 
RacerDeac said:
Against 3-2 Louisville, 3-2 FSU, 3-2 NCSU, 3-2 VT...

Meanwhile, in Sagarin:
BC: 83
UNC: 49
Utah State: 45
Louisville: 73
FSU: 40
NC State: 68
VT: 71

Our schedule isn't really getting any tougher than the games you pointed out until we get to Clemson. Plus we get 3 of them all at home.
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I feel better about beating State, VT, and Syracuse than I did at the beginning of the season, and worse about FSU. I predicted 7-5 at the start of the season, and would now adjust that to 9-3.
 
Would think anything less than 9-3 is a pretty big disappointment at this point. Only one “unwinnable” game on the remaining schedule.
 
There's one thing I know about winning football games at Wake Forest...it's never easy. But, I think we're developing a mental toughness that started with Wolford and has transitioned to Newman. Just like Louisville will be a tough team to beat; so is WF...
Deacs 31
Cards 27
 
WRS said:
Would think anything less than 9-3 is a pretty big disappointment at this point. Only one “unwinnable” game on the remaining schedule.
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Maybe even anything less than 10-2 would be somewhat disappointing with this weak ass ACC.

Lose to Clemson of course and will forgive Clawson for another loss along the way.
 
SP+ win projections updated and Wake back up slightly to 8.49 projected wins:

Louisville 60.2%
Florida State 54%
NC State 59.5%
Virginia Tech 57.9%
Clemson 9.8%
Duke 54.9%
Syracuse 53%

99.4% chance to be bowl eligible (one more win)
.3% chance of winning out

29.1% to win 9 games (most of any single number) and 28.5% to win 8 games.

50.3% to win 9 or more games compared with 49.7% to win 8 games or fewer.
 
WRS said:
Would think anything less than 9-3 is a pretty big disappointment at this point. Only one “unwinnable” game on the remaining schedule.
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Wakeforest22890 said:
SP+ win projections updated and Wake back up slightly to 8.49 projected wins:

Louisville 60.2%
Florida State 54%
NC State 59.5%
Virginia Tech 57.9%
Clemson 9.8%
Duke 54.9%
Syracuse 53%

99.4% chance to be bowl eligible (one more win)
.3% chance of winning out

29.1% to win 9 games (most of any single number) and 28.5% to win 8 games.

50.3% to win 9 or more games compared with 49.7% to win 8 games or fewer.
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so, a 50% chance that WRS will be massively disappointed
 
Just looked at our depth chart for Louisville
Mostly the same except Kamara is listed as starting DT ahead of Bergan, although I expect them to alternate a lot. Bothroyd is the others starting DT, and I’m sure he’ll be alternating a lot with Tyler Williams, who had a great game 2 against BC. Hinton and Coby Davis listed as starters, so it appears they’re healthy and ready to go. Good news.
 
Yes, Clawson was asked about Coby Davis specifically and said he was healthy and practiced all week. He did go out of his way to point out that Rucker has played really well and is listed as co-starter (notice the OR).
 
L'ville tidbits:

Former App. State Coach Scott Satterfield has quickly turned around the Cards after last year's debacle (2-10; 0-8 ACC) under Petrino. L'ville hung with ND to open the season, before the Irish pulled away to win 35-17. The Cards crushed their FCS foe and WKU. In their first ACC game at FSU, the Noles dominated early up 21-0 in the 1st quarter, but Lville scored the next 24 points to lead 24-21 in the 4th quarter and were driving for the clinching score when an FSU pick turned the game around. Last week, against BC, the game was a track meet, the Cards scored TDs on 3 of their first 4 possessions, and BC nearly matched them despite losing QB Anthony Brown in the first half. L'ville ending up winning 41-39 on a 41 yard FG with 1 minute left. Not a lot of defense in that game as L'ville gained 664 ! yards against BC (WF had 440 the week before against BC) and BC gained 563 yards using a back-up QB for most of the game.

On offense, L'ville has used 3 QBs:

- Jawon Pass started the first two games, but has been out with an injury since (he may return). He was more dangerous as a runner than a passer early.
- Micale Cunningham, the starter for the last 3; he can throw (280+ yards against both BC and FSU) and run (he has 167 yards and 3 TDs rushing). MC got dinged up against BC, but now claims to be healthy.
- Evan Conley (frosh) played very well in reserve against BC (10/16 140 yards 1 TD). He is not a threat to run.

Cunningham is the probable starter on Saturday, but WF could see all 3.

RS Frosh Javian Hawkins is their stud RB. He has run for 100+ against everyone, even ND, except FSU. He ran for 172 last week against BC. L'ville has a big play offense as they had 12 plays for 20+ yards against L'ville. Deacs will need to avoid the explosive plays to keep L'ville from lighting up the scoreboard.

On D, L'ville was among the worst defensive teams in the country last year. 7 teams scored 50+ against the Cards (WF scored 56 and could've scored more). This year, while still showing some vulnerabilities, they are a much better defensive team. That said, FSU rolled up 522 yards against the L'ville D two weeks ago and BC topped that last week. Playing somewhat into WF's offensive strengths, L'ville has been susceptible to the deep pass on defense as L'ville has given TD passes of 44, 60 and 72 over the last two games. BC also averaged 5.4 ypc on the ground against L'ville this past week. The Cards defense has only 1 pick in 5 games this year.

L'ville's special team are OK. Their kicker is 5 for 7 on the year (missed a FG against BC), and has touchbacks on only 1/6 of his KOs. Their punter is solid and has had no punts blocked. They average 8 yards per punt return and 21 yards per kick return.

Game looks to be high scoring. Deacon defense needs to avoid giving up big plays, which has been a problem. If WF jumps to a large lead, L'ville will keep coming as they already came back for 21-0 deficit at FSU this year.
 
Pilchard said:
L'ville tidbits:

Former App. State Coach Scott Satterfield has quickly turned around the Cards after last year's debacle (2-10; 0-8 ACC) under Petrino. L'ville hung with ND to open the season, before the Irish pulled away to win 35-17. The Cards crushed their FCS foe and WKU. In their first ACC game at FSU, the Noles dominated early up 21-0 in the 1st quarter, but Lville scored the next 24 points to lead 24-21 in the 4th quarter and were driving for the clinching score when an FSU pick turned the game around. Last week, against BC, the game was a track meet, the Cards scored TDs on 3 of their first 4 possessions, and BC nearly matched them despite losing QB Anthony Brown in the first half. L'ville ending up winning 41-39 on a 41 yard FG with 1 minute left. Not a lot of defense in that game as L'ville gained 664 ! yards against BC (WF had 440 the week before against BC) and BC gained 563 yards using a back-up QB for most of the game.

On offense, L'ville has used 3 QBs:

- Jawon Pass started the first two games, but has been out with an injury since (he may return). He was more dangerous as a runner than a passer early.
- Micale Cunningham, the starter for the last 3; he can throw (280+ yards against both BC and FSU) and run (he has 167 yards and 3 TDs rushing). MC got dinged up against BC, but now claims to be healthy.
- Evan Conley (frosh) played very well in reserve against BC (10/16 140 yards 1 TD). He is not a threat to run.

Cunningham is the probable starter on Saturday, but WF could see all 3.

RS Frosh Javian Hawkins is their stud RB. He has run for 100+ against everyone, even ND, except FSU. He ran for 172 last week against BC. L'ville has a big play offense as they had 12 plays for 20+ yards against L'ville. Deacs will need to avoid the explosive plays to keep L'ville from lighting up the scoreboard.

On D, L'ville was among the worst defensive teams in the country last year. 7 teams scored 50+ against the Cards (WF scored 56 and could've scored more). This year, while still showing some vulnerabilities, they are a much better defensive team. That said, FSU rolled up 522 yards against the L'ville D two weeks ago and BC topped that last week. Playing somewhat into WF's offensive strengths, L'ville has been susceptible to the deep pass on defense as L'ville has given TD passes of 44, 60 and 72 over the last two games. BC also averaged 5.4 ypc on the ground against L'ville this past week. The Cards defense has only 1 pick in 5 games this year.

L'ville's special team are OK. Their kicker is 5 for 7 on the year (missed a FG against BC), and has touchbacks on only 1/6 of his KOs. Their punter is solid and has had no punts blocked. They average 8 yards per punt return and 21 yards per kick return.

Game looks to be high scoring. Deacon defense needs to avoid giving up big plays, which has been a problem. If WF jumps to a large lead, L'ville will keep coming as they already came back for 21-0 deficit at FSU this year.
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What did their D do well in adjusting to hold FSU after giving up 3 early TDs?
 
That family is cursed.
 
DeacAssured said:
Big Red Louie

https://bigredlouie.com/2019/10/09/...easons-why-the-cards-will-defeat-wake-forest/
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Worst garbage I've ever read. Is that guy in 8th grade ? In a synopsis, Louisville will play better than they have been and therefore beat Wake.

Eliminating mental mistakes will help the secondary take a big step forward, but when it comes to eliminating big plays they’ll have to improve one-on-one coverage as well as having the safety help over top.
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