Here are just my current thoughts on this based on reading articles with quotes from various AD's.
Comments by AD's in a couple of articles.
AD's really want to play a football season, because the loss of that revenue would be devastating (would basically be making decisions on what programs to keep running).
They will not play college sports if college students are not on campus in the fall.
They will not play college sports without fans. (If it is not safe for fans to be there it is not safe for student-athletes to be there).
When they play they don't want to have to play a partial season because it gets shut down. (This leads me to believe that spring is starting to become more likely than fall).
A few thoughts that are my opinion.
First, there is no way college sports will return before professional sports will return. NCAA and Universities will want to watch what professional leagues do and whether there is a safe way to play before letting SA's play again.
I have a hard time seeing football starting on time this fall even if things go well. it looks unlikely that any colleges are going to have students on campus this summer, and some have already cancelled all summer camps, etc. So I expect the NCAA will ultimately extend the ban on any athletic activities until fall semester. That means in SA's being on campus doing S&C, 'voluntary' workouts, etc. Even if the students are allowed back on campus this fall the SA's will basically been on their own since mid-March - around 5 months. They are not going to be in condition to play games in a matter of weeks.
I think a college basketball season is really unlikely. It makes less money for all but 4 P5 Universities than football and having thousands of people indoors together during winter seems like a bad idea.
If professional sports are not playing games by mid-July i don't see college sports in the fall. Decisions likely have to be made before then on whether students will be on campus, and whether sports can be allowed.
I have difficulty believing that the type of testing that would be needed is going to be available this fall for the number of football games that take place each week.
I last thought.What is happening in Singapore right now causes me alot of concern. They had everything under control and then missed some cases in migrant dormitories and now have had 4,500 cases in the last 4 days, around 7,000 in the last 2 weeks - almost all their cases. if it is easy to spread in migrant dormitories, is it likely to be easy to spread in college dormitories? And if it is, does that make it less likely Universities will have students live on campus until a vaccine is ready?
https://time.com/5824039/singapore-outbreak-migrant-workers/
Even in dorms that are set up in suites, the risk of exposure would be significant. Then you throw in the crowds in the dining halls. Large lecture hall classes are certainly out for the time being. It would be interesting to hear whether colleges are scrambling to increase bandwidth before August.