Or all three? Idahomtana!
10 years is a long time. Google started their self driving car program 11 years ago.
Yeah, and the hard work has been done so it's not a linear path. The first and last mile issues can largely be solved with one-time infrastructure updates - that'll be a no-brainer compared to paying thousands of humans to try not to fall asleep for hours on end.
I went to an AI conference last year where an industry leader made a bet that anyone born from that day on will never have a driver's license. Out of 11 top vehicle manufacturers interviewed a few months ago, not one of them had fully automated urban driving with zero human interaction slated for after 2030. All of them were before.
people think all the cars in the US will be replaced with fully autonomous cars in 30 years? stupid poors can buy more money
Will need to have two self-driving car modes. City mode where everyone else is in a self-driving car, and rube mode where the self-driving algorithm takes into account you are out of the city surrounded by 30 year old Saturns and Oldsmobiles.
rehab! rehab! rehab!
gotta fill out the 24 hr news cycle with guests somehow!
I'll speak for myself. I think cars as we know them now will be either a luxury item, antique items, or like landline phones.
I don't think car ownership will be nearly as common in 30 years, self driving or not. I think within 30 years, most people won't own cars and just summon a self-driving car when they need to go somewhere. There will be long-term rentals for travel like taking a self-driving RV on a long vacation. And then maybe a few wealthy people will own luxury self-driving vehicles.
Might make going to a national park kind of suck-you'll have to go during peak season.
it'll just have to be generational. i don't think i have the patience to endure an AI driving through my neighborhood. Also, my GPS already needs to be updated and i'm too cheap to go to Subaru to get the new chip.
it just seems like a lot of in-between problems with car AI will defeat it beyond large cities and open highways.
Yeah, and the hard work has been done so it's not a linear path. The first and last mile issues can largely be solved with one-time infrastructure updates - that'll be a no-brainer compared to paying thousands of humans to try not to fall asleep for hours on end.
I went to an AI conference last year where an industry leader made a bet that anyone born from that day on will never have a driver's license. Out of 11 top vehicle manufacturers interviewed a few months ago, not one of them had fully automated urban driving with zero human interaction slated for after 2030. All of them were before.
I'll speak for myself. I think cars as we know them now will be either a luxury item, antique items, or like landline phones.
I don't think car ownership will be nearly as common in 30 years, self driving or not. I think within 30 years, most people won't own cars and just summon a self-driving car when they need to go somewhere. There will be long-term rentals for travel like taking a self-driving RV on a long vacation. And then maybe a few wealthy people will own luxury self-driving vehicles.