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Thread: Official Election Month Thread: COUP falls short, nothing to see here

  1. #101

  2. #102
    Florida eday totals are missing miami. Seems pretty significant

  3. #103
    Having lived in Austin for almost the last ten years, I was certain Trump's support was overstated and he'd have no chance.

    Living now in the district represented by America's worst congressman, it feels like Biden doesn't have a chance. I guess billboards and signs and banners and trucks with signs really affect my confidence levels.

  4. #104
    Is it possible that Florida became *more* conservative in the past 4 years? How is that possible? Was there a wave of retirees that Iím unaware of?
    Draxx them sklounst

  5. #105
    Quote Originally Posted by ChrisL68 View Post
    Florida eday totals are missing miami. Seems pretty significant
    That is what I read and am also hoping. I saw Clinton won Miami around 62%, but another tweet I saw estimated Miami was much closer to 50/50 this year with only a slight Biden lead. He seemed to be polling way behind with Hispanics in the Miami area.

  6. #106
    Bernie Eskimo Bro
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    Quote Originally Posted by myDeaconmyhand View Post
    Is it possible that Florida became *more* conservative in the past 4 years? How is that possible? Was there a wave of retirees that Iím unaware of?
    My parents, for two.

  7. #107
    Quote Originally Posted by myDeaconmyhand View Post
    Is it possible that Florida became *more* conservative in the past 4 years? How is that possible? Was there a wave of retirees that Iím unaware of?
    Anti-socialist hispanics.
    semi-aquatic like otters be.

  8. #108
    Quote Originally Posted by dcnelso View Post
    Looks like Republicans now have a 130,000 vote advantage based on party registration. as of 1:30pm (includes early vote totals too). Though there is 2.3Million non party affiliated votes, I don't know how those are split.

    As a native Floridian, I can tell you that party affiliation doesn't mean the same for everyone. There are plenty of Democrats that vote Republican and vice versa. I think it's a lot of single issue voters whether it be taxes, social security, abortion, LGBTQ rights, etc.

  9. #109
    I disagree with you
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    Quote Originally Posted by dcnelso View Post

  10. #110
    Quote Originally Posted by TenaciousKory View Post
    Anti-socialist hispanics.
    The Cuban and South American population of Florida has stayed relatively constant for the past 4 years, so that alone doesnít explain it. Perhaps those voters have become more conservative and reactionary in the past 4 years?
    Draxx them sklounst

  11. #111
    So how close should I be to shitting myself at this point in the day?

  12. #112
    Quote Originally Posted by dcnelso View Post
    From some of the turnout numbers I'm seeing on twitter regarding Florida, it appears the republicans are having a huge turnout day and have wiped away the early voting lead democrats had. I'm starting to think Florida is going to go Trump which mostly likely means everything comes down to Penn. Seeing the R registration lead in Florida is now over what Trump won the state by in 2016.

    So Biden would start to need a decent % of R's to cross over and probably a 10 point lead in independents. I'm not sure what the Independent polling was for Florida. But as a Biden voter I'm getting nervous. Maybe I'm just too scarred from 2016.
    you come in here with 31 posts and start expecting me to believe you on big things like this? NO SIR

    Quote Originally Posted by cville deac View Post
    I like King and the maps as well. So as long as we don't lose NV, yes, we need 1 of NC, FL, GA or AZ + Omaha in order to make PA irrelevant.
    i like the maps, I just think that King regularly gets so hung up on driving them that he loses focus on commentary. He's much better not on the board.

  13. #113
    Rusty Larue
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    Quote Originally Posted by mako1331 View Post
    So how close should I be to shitting myself at this point in the day?
    Go ahead and get it over with.

  14. #114
    Quote Originally Posted by DeacDiggler View Post
    you come in here with 31 posts and start expecting me to believe you on big things like this? NO SIR



    i like the maps, I just think that King regularly gets so hung up on driving them that he loses focus on commentary. He's much better not on the board.
    I just started posting here, but i've been reading this board for years all the way back to the Scout board days. I just had a general philosophy of not posting on internet message boards because no one really cares about my beliefs. But with 2020 and this crazy election, I've said F it and started posting some. I'll tell you exactly my biases. I'm a registered R in NC who has been voting straight D since about 2014 after seeing all of the shit that NC republicans did to cheat rules and say "screw the libs".

  15. #115
    PM a mod to cement your internet status forever
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    King starts off with a plan and highlights a few places to show evidence for a specific trend or narrative. But then he goes off the rails and starts clicking around to red counties with 0.1% of the population to show why Bidenís current total in Allegheny County may not hold up.

  16. #116
    Wife is back from poll watching. She was in CLT (near Sugar Creek) and can report it was slow. ~100 voters as of about 10 AM, didn't know the tally when she left at 1:30 but slow.

    Have seen similar reports on twitter for CLT, hoping it's because of the large early voting numbers and everyone else hates Donald.

  17. #117

  18. #118
    Did a quick check of the 2016 numbers where 9.4mil voted in FL. So we're up 700K with a few hours to go. Just to throw more numbers in by comparison, in 2008 8.4mil voted in FL and 8.5mil in 2012. So there was a large increase from 2012 to 2016 and another large increase this year. I have no idea what these numbers signify but would be happy if someone from FL wants to comment.

  19. #119
    Quote Originally Posted by dcnelso View Post
    I just started posting here, but i've been reading this board for years all the way back to the Scout board days. I just had a general philosophy of not posting on internet message boards because no one really cares about my beliefs. But with 2020 and this crazy election, I've said F it and started posting some. I'll tell you exactly my biases. I'm a registered R in NC who has been voting straight D since about 2014 after seeing all of the shit that NC republicans did to cheat rules and say "screw the libs".
    Introduce yourself to NED - similar bio.

  20. #120
    I disagree with you
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