Page 8 of 301 FirstFirst ... 3456789101112131858108 ... LastLast
Results 141 to 160 of 6012

Thread: Official Election Month Thread: COUP falls short, nothing to see here

  1. #141
    Scooter Banks
    DeacMan's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Go to the Elf's house. We're just a bit West of there.
    Posts
    7,647
    Quote Originally Posted by cville deac View Post
    So it's going to be well over 1 million more FL votes. Can't be a bad thing I'm guessing.
    My own "model" from yesterday suggested Biden still wins if the GOP registereds total about 4.5M and the Dem registereds who vote total about 4M. That model presumed:

    Indies go 51.5/48.5 to Biden
    Biden wins 6-7% of GOP registered votes
    Trump wins 3% of Dem Votes

    And that presumed total Indie votes were just turning out 30% today on top of the early vote. It really all comes down to do you believe more GOP voters cross over and do more Indies go Biden,

    But I'm not getting geeked up about the GOP registereds being 157K+ on the Dems, especially without Miami-Dade weighing in.

  2. #142
    Boomer Boy Shorty's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2011
    Location
    GA's Gilded 6th
    Posts
    7,930
    Quote Originally Posted by cville deac View Post
    I don't see this at all. He'll do as much damage as he can in that 2 month period, and can't he pardon himself from federal crimes?
    Unfortunately, this. If he loses, his last two months in office will be all about what he sees as retribution.

  3. #143
    Scooter Banks
    DeacMan's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Go to the Elf's house. We're just a bit West of there.
    Posts
    7,647
    Quote Originally Posted by ImTheCaptain View Post
    So I'm sticking with:

    Biden gets 6% of GOP voters
    Trump gets 3% of Dem voters
    Biden gets 51% of Indie voters

    The above gets you to Biden +150K.

  4. #144
    Republicans ahead by around 200k, gonna come down to how independents split and how many cross party voters there are. Democrats needs a decent amount of independents it seems.

    https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/s...45569882492928

  5. #145
    Quote Originally Posted by DeacMan View Post
    My own "model" from yesterday suggested Biden still wins if the GOP registereds total about 4.5M and the Dem registereds who vote total about 4M. That model presumed:

    Indies go 51.5/48.5 to Biden
    Biden wins 6-7% of GOP registered votes
    Trump wins 3% of Dem Votes

    And that presumed total Indie votes were just turning out 30% today on top of the early vote. It really all comes down to do you believe more GOP voters cross over and do more Indies go Biden,

    But I'm not getting geeked up about the GOP registereds being 157K+ on the Dems, especially without Miami-Dade weighing in.
    You're a bigger nerd than I am. As Ali G would say, respect.

  6. #146
    I disagree with you
    ImTheCaptain's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Pennsylvania
    Posts
    46,053
    Quote Originally Posted by dcnelso View Post
    Republicans ahead by around 200k, gonna come down to how independents split and how many cross party voters there are. Democrats needs a decent amount of independents it seems.


  7. #147
    Quote Originally Posted by dcnelso View Post
    Republicans ahead by around 200k, gonna come down to how independents split and how many cross party voters there are. Democrats needs a decent amount of independents it seems.

    https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/s...45569882492928
    "*only 2pm update from miami dade"

    This is missing 3 hours of Miami vote.

  8. #148

  9. #149
    what sort of independent voter would vote for trump

  10. #150
    Quote Originally Posted by buckets View Post
    what sort of independent voter would vote for trump
    Racist dickheads?

  11. #151
    Quote Originally Posted by buckets View Post
    what sort of independent voter would vote for trump
    Libertarians who want to pretend they are independent thinkers and “but both sides suck” but are actually closet racists.

  12. #152
    Quote Originally Posted by dcnelso View Post
    I just started posting here, but i've been reading this board for years all the way back to the Scout board days. I just had a general philosophy of not posting on internet message boards because no one really cares about my beliefs. But with 2020 and this crazy election, I've said F it and started posting some. I'll tell you exactly my biases. I'm a registered R in NC who has been voting straight D since about 2014 after seeing all of the shit that NC republicans did to cheat rules and say "screw the libs".
    welcome to the posting side. no one cares about my opinion either but that's sure as hell not going to stop me from providing it! (My voting history is the same as yours, except i switched to independent in 2018.)

  13. #153
    For those with DirecTV, channel 71 is an election mix channel with CNN, MSNBC, Fox and (for some reason) NewsMax

  14. #154
    Quote Originally Posted by BeachBumDeac View Post
    Libertarians who want to pretend they are independent thinkers and “but both sides suck” but are actually closet racists.
    And Republicans/Trumpites who also like to call themselves "independent thinkers" even though they still believe everything Fox News says and vote Republican 99% of the time, but don't want to admit that to friends, family, coworkers, etc.

  15. #155
    Scooter Banks
    DeacMan's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Go to the Elf's house. We're just a bit West of there.
    Posts
    7,647
    MSNBC exit poll from Georgia - I know, it's MSNBC. But . . .

    37% GOP voter
    35% Dem voter
    28% NPA voter

    If that's right . . .

  16. #156
    PM a mod to cement your internet status forever
    PhDeac's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Posts
    120,297
    Quote Originally Posted by buckets View Post
    what sort of independent voter would vote for trump
    An independent (NPA in FL) who doesn’t really care much about politics but likes Trump didn’t have to register as a Pub to vote in a primary.

  17. #157
    Quote Originally Posted by Highland Deac View Post
    And Republicans/Trumpites who also like to call themselves "independent thinkers" even though they still believe everything Fox News says and vote Republican 99% of the time, but don't want to admit that to friends, family, coworkers, etc.
    https://reductress.com/post/people-s...f-fear-factor/

  18. #158
    Quote Originally Posted by PhDeac View Post
    An independent (NPA in FL) who doesn’t really care much about politics but likes Trump didn’t have to register as a Pub to vote in a primary.
    Are there a good number of Cuban voters who could fall into this category?

  19. #159
    i'll give you an example or my cousin who I've been talking to. Though in SC so it doesn't really matter, but think Trump is an idiot but says my 401k is up 100% in the last 4 years, was pissed that his employer provided health insurance increased around 30% after obamacare started and doesn't like the rheteric of the idiots in Portland/antifa rioting and breaking stuff stuff without much push back from democrats and liberal media.

    I disagree with all of that and its being more a fox news viewers and taking talking points vs. looking into the details of stuff, but this is sorta the mindset of independent/republican trump voters from what I gather from family members.

  20. #160
    The 5yo just posed a terrifying scenario that none of us has even considered. “What if Viden is really President Trump and President Trump is really Viden and they’re just wearing masks”.

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •