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Thread: Official Election Month Thread: COUP falls short, nothing to see here

  1. #161
    Quote Originally Posted by BeachBumDeac View Post
    Are there a good number of Cuban voters who could fall into this category?
    can't edit so I will add this link

    https://www.newyorker.com/news/us-jo...merican-voters

  2. #162
    Quote Originally Posted by mako1331 View Post
    The 5yo just posed a terrifying scenario that none of us has even considered. “What if Viden is really President Trump and President Trump is really Viden and they’re just wearing masks”.
    so Mission: Impossible

  3. #163
    Scooter Banks
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    Biden campaign not sounding confident on NC, GA or FL.

  4. #164

  5. #165
    Quote Originally Posted by DeacMan View Post
    Biden campaign not sounding confident on NC, GA or FL.
    based on what
    semi-aquatic like otters be.

  6. #166
    Scooter Banks

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    Quote Originally Posted by DeacMan View Post
    Biden campaign not sounding confident on NC, GA or FL.
    Worried Deacman is going to be the 2016 Nate Silver of the OGBoards. I think you'll just have to leave permanently, man.

  7. #167
    Scooter Banks
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    Younger, more educated, less white electorate than 2016 per CNN's math. Question is where. Oh, and old people voted more too. Down with the middle agers, ha!

  8. #168
    PM a mod to cement your internet status forever
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    Quote Originally Posted by BeachBumDeac View Post
    Certainly a factor. I doubt many new immigrants register with a party immediately. As you can see, there are a lot of NPA voters.

    There are more NPA voters than Dems in Miami-Dade and almost as many as Pubs.

  9. #169
    Scooter Banks
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shooshmoo View Post
    Worried Deacman is going to be the 2016 Nate Silver of the OGBoards. I think you'll just have to leave permanently, man.
    I'd get over it. I've said Biden will win for MONTHS. If I'm wrong I eat the crow, er turkey.

  10. #170
    Scooter Banks
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    Quote Originally Posted by TenaciousKory View Post
    based on what
    Not clear.

  11. #171
    Quote Originally Posted by DeacMan View Post
    Biden campaign not sounding confident on NC, GA or FL.
    https://twitter.com/ppollingnumbers/...876221952?s=10

  12. #172
    I don’t really know what to believe, I wish I had the unsophisticated rube mind that has no doubts Trump is going to win the popular vote as well as the state of New York.

  13. #173
    Quote Originally Posted by DeacMan View Post
    Not clear.
    I'm asking what you're basing your post on.
    semi-aquatic like otters be.

  14. #174
    Better get PA and AZ or this country is fucked

  15. #175
    Scooter Banks
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    Quote Originally Posted by TenaciousKory View Post
    I'm asking what you're basing your post on.
    Some talking head who talked with the campaign.

  16. #176
    are all the early votes already counted? seems like we should have a jump on voting results?

  17. #177
    Per my link above

    "JUST IN: Biden camp internals show “strong” numbers in WI, MI, NC, GA, PA, AZ & NE-2. FL is true toss-up, senior adviser tells
    @NorahODonnell
    .

    Source says not seeing “red tide of low-propensity voters” for Trump. Dem says they are over-performing in WI, NC and GA. "

  18. #178

  19. #179
    From Nate Silver's live chat on 538:
    NATE SILVER
    NOV. 3, 6:42 PM
    It looks as though Republicans will wind up with around a net +2 percent on party registration in Florida. That’s not terrible for them, and they reversed a slight Democratic disadvantage based on early and absentee voting. But it’s also not great. Based on the partisan splits in recent polls of Florida, I estimated that — because Biden is doing better among independents in most polls of the state and gets somewhat more crossover voters — the breakeven point for a Trump win was about R +3.5 in Florida. That is, if Republicans led in turnout by 3.5 points or more, Trump would be the favorite to win; otherwise Biden would be. We’ll probably end up just to the Biden side of the line. With that said, there’s a lot of uncertainty. Some polls in Florida showed Biden with big leaders among independents in Florida, while in others he was running evenly with Trump.

  20. #180
    Scooter Banks
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    Quote Originally Posted by buckets View Post
    are all the early votes already counted? seems like we should have a jump on voting results?
    Depends on the state. Some count before all other polls close. AZ is like that. Some after all polls close (and these early votes can be harder to count - more steps).

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