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Thread: Do You Live In A Political Bubble?

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  1. #1

    Do You Live In A Political Bubble?

    How politically diverse is your neighborhood?



    Your neighbors are a pretty diverse bunch, politically.
    About 43 percent are Democrats, 53 percent are Republicans and 4 percent are independents.

    Doesnít seem to let you get too close a lookÖsupposedly shows the political party affiliation of the 1000 voters closest to your address.
    I love mankind...itís people I canít stand!!

  2. #2
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    PhDeac's Avatar
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    Do You Live In A Political Bubble?



    #suburbs

    I question the accuracy of this given that 30% of registered voters in this county arenít affiliated with either party. Plus I canvassed all D homes in my immediate neighborhood and it was < 50% of homes.
    Last edited by PhDeac; 05-03-2021 at 09:51 PM.

  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by PhDeac View Post
    I question the accuracy of this given that 30% of registered voters in this county arenít affiliated with either party. Plus I canvassed all D homes in my immediate neighborhood and it was < 50% of homes.



    Methodology: To make this interactive, we used a dataset containing the addresses and party identifications of 180 million registered voters in 2018. The data comes from L2, a company that gathers and sells publicly available voter registration records.

    For voters who didnít explicitly register as Democrats or Republicans, we estimated their partisan affiliation based on the ideological lean of the party they did register with and their voting history in primaries. In the absence of that information, we assigned parties based on votersí demographics and precinct-level election results.

    Voters who register with one of the major parties still sometimes vote for the opposing party's candidates in general elections. In Kentucky, for instance, it's likely that between a third and a fifth of registered Democrats voted for Donald Trump in 2016. To validate our partisanship estimates, we asked 10,000 voters which party they belonged to. Our estimates matched their responses 77 percent of the time.

    Our analysis treats next-door neighbors the same as it does those who live at the outer edges of votersí networks. When we took distance into account, each partyís isolation was even more pronounced.

    HmmmÖ.seems a look unaffiliated folks might have been assigned a party.
    I love mankind...itís people I canít stand!!

  4. #4

  5. #5
    59% Republican.

  6. #6
    Your neighbors are a pretty diverse bunch, politically.
    About 54 percent are Democrats, 46 percent are Republicans and less than 1 percent are independents.

    My parents have 8% Democratic neighbors in SC.

    Where I grew up in NJ was 71% Republican, which surprises me for NJ overall, but made sense once I thought about it.
    Last edited by redwing42; 05-03-2021 at 10:01 PM.

  7. #7
    Currently 3% Republican neighbors.

    My old neighborhood in rural eastern PA=58% Republican.

  8. #8

    Do You Live In A Political Bubble?

    4% Republican

    Damn, thought I'd win

    Eta: Parents home is 62% Republican, sister's is about split.
    Last edited by ipitytheblue; 05-03-2021 at 10:18 PM.

  9. #9
    Nice!

    Many of your neighbors ó 69 percent ó are Democrats. You don't quite live in a bubble, but we wouldn't say your neighbors are politically diverse, either.

  10. #10
    Over 95% of neighbors falling into one of only 2 parties is diverse.
    Letís get this done!

  11. #11
    18% Dem. A Repub bubble. Yet this county went for Biden. Where I grew up is 50/50 and Biden got under 20% of the vote.

  12. #12
    Older than Dirt WFU71's Avatar
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    Not a bubble, but 72% Republican. The town I grew up in (NJ) is 62% Democrat.

  13. #13
    Look = lot of
    I love mankind...itís people I canít stand!!

  14. #14
    50% Democratic
    49% Republican
    1% Independent

    Not bad considering the surrounding counties but the death of the New Deal generation hurt that percentage a lot.

  15. #15
    As I understand their stated methodology, many unaffiliated voters were assigned a party based on voting patternsÖboth theirs and their precinctís.

    So itís an estimate based on some voting data, not how you and your neighbors are merely registered.
    Last edited by ConnorEl; 05-03-2021 at 11:12 PM.
    I love mankind...itís people I canít stand!!

  16. #16

  17. #17

  18. #18
    My current neighborhood is 60% Republican, which is about what I expected. It's pretty conservative overall but does have a good number of Democrats and liberals from the yard signs and other stuff I can see. My old hometown is about 77% Republican, which is actually lower than I remembered, or would have thought. I only remember knowing a handful of Democrats growing up.

  19. #19
    Looks Ed up my hometown. Itís 83% republican, which actually seemed a bit low as my dad and his wife are the only Democrats Iíve ever met there.

  20. #20
    2% Republican

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