thatguy2016
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get your picks in
I count 3 losses in the regular season: Clemson, at Louisville, and at State. With some luck, we could finish with 1 or 2 losses.
I agree.
9-3 (5-3)
9/1 - vs VMI (W)
9/10 - @ Vanderbilt (W)
9/17 - vs Liberty (W)
9/24 - vs Clemson (L)
10/1 - @ Florida State (W)
10/8 - vs Army (W)
10/22 - vs Boston College (W)
10/29 - @ Louisville (L)
11/5 - @ NC State (L)
11/12 - vs North Carolina (W)
11/19 - vs Syracuse (W)
11/26 - @Duke (W)
WIN
LOSS
TOSS-UP / COULD GO EITHER WAY
In this prediction, we go 6-1 at home, and 3-2 on the road.
I think the 3 away games in the Atlantic are going to be KEYS to our season. We could go anywhere from 0-3/1-2/2-1/3-0 (captain obvious told me)
I think we go 9-3 (5-3) w/
4-0 - OOC
3-1 - vs Clemson, vs BC, vs Syracuse, @Duke
2-2 - @FSU, @NCSU, @L'Ville, vs UNC
- I think the odds of us winning against each of these teams to be [@FSU (55%), @NCSU (35%), @Louisville (45%), UNC (65%)]
- I think we could go down to 7-5 (3-5) by switching toss-up wins @FSU and vs. UNC to Losses for both
BUT
- I also think we could get to 10-2 (6-2) or better with a miracle win over Clemson (only if their QB/offense can't settle), OR WINS in 3 of the 4 toss-up games [ @FSU / @NCSU / @Louisville / vs UNC ]
- Throw in all 4 of those toss-ups and we can be 11-1!!
My overall guesses:
4-8 (2-6) = 1% = Wins over VMI/ARMY/Duke/Syracuse
5-7 (2-6) = 3% = Losses to Army OR Liberty OOC || @FSU/@NCSU/@L'Ville || home vs Clemson/vs UNC/vs BC
6-6 (2-6) = 5% = Losses the same as above with a win vs Army
7-5 (3-5) = 18% = Losses @FSU/@NCSU/@L'Ville || home vs Clemson/vs UNC
8-4 (4-4) = 28% = Losses @FSU/@NCSU/@L'Ville || home vs Clemson
9-3 (5-3) = 35% = Losses @NCSU/@L'Ville || home vs Clemson
10-2 (6-2) = 6% = Losses @NCSU || home vs Clemson
11-1 (7-1) = 3% = Loss at home vs Clemson
12-0 (8-0) = 1% = NO LOSSES (we'd all be dead)
But again, my prediction is 9-3 (5-3) leaning toward 8-4 (4-4) with the difference being a loss to FSU or UNC that I had previously counted as wins.
It all depends on when the losses come in, if they pile up due to an injury early in the year, we could go weeks without winning. But if we stay healthy, I honestly think we have a shot at beating Clemson and winning the division again!
(Forgive me if my post comes off crazy, I'm slightly high.....at 8am....on a Tuesday...lol)
I feel pretty good about the UNC game this year considering we have home field advantage against a new quarterback. We beat Howell under those circumstances, and whoever they have starting is most certainly not going to be as talented as he was.
We beat State in Raleigh in 2018. We were the better team in 2020 but had to play Clemson the week before while State had an off week, and we lost by 3. I expect to be a 3 point underdog in this game, solely based on home field advantage. They will be better defensively, and we will be better offensively.
Likely starter is sophomore Drake Maye, who was a 4/5-star former Alabama commit and was top 10 nationally at his position. Saban came to town to watch him play basketball in high school. He's going to be good and he'll have nine starts under his belt before he faces Wake.
So then Howell beat us the next two times we played him.