Get FSU to pay $280 million and let them out and waive GOR. Pay each remaining ACC school $10 million/year next two years on top of current distributions (presumably less for ND). Add Stanford and Cal but they come in for reduced share.
Stanford just too good of a school with too many resources to ignore. Helps keep a ND rival. Not sure FSU has anywhere good to land and if they do it will be for a reduced share of Big 10 like Oregon. Will take them at least 10 years to get back the exit fee. They flounder and it gives UNC/UVA/Clemson pause (which should happen slightly anyway with increased distributions in short term).
UNC is key. They don’t want to leave. They have long been the big draw of the ACC and have lots of power already. I cannot imagine they can stomach being a second-tier draw with minimal power in a football-first conference.
ACC needs money and time. Striking a good deal with FSU helps both. If UNC/UVA/Clemson decide to get out, ACC is over.
Until you factor in the cold, hard reality of the math, this is a good post.
This part in particular is underrated.
The only sad part is we can't kick Notre Dame out. I understand that their dry humping our schedules for five nonconference games per year adds broadcasting value we can't afford to shed, but $280M divided by 14 schools barely covers the revenue gap for one year on a per-school basis. That's not going to keep Clemson in the fold.
If we were to add Stanford and Cal, I would make a 12th hour push to also add Arizona and Arizona State. Adding two makes almost no sense. Add four, make them all take a discount to board our life boat (in exchange for the promise of full membership in 2036), and create a West Coast Basketball Division.
Big Four Division
West Coast Division
Florida/Georgia/SCAR Division
Virginias/Louisville/ND
Yankee Go Home Division (Cuse, Pitt, BC, UCONN)
Divisions play home@home against themselves, and two teams from each other Division. Five division champs get autobids to NCAAT.
On the football side, 20 teams floods the t.v. inventory. Sign deals with the RingDoorbell Network, Al-Jazeera, and the Turner Classic Football Game to play Tuesdays, Wednesdays and Fridays. The ratings for December bowl games show that Americans will watch an endless supply of football. It's either that or slowly get picked over by the Big10 and SEC.