Full slate of bubble games on Saturday. Obviously the most important is Wake's game. Lose today and we are out of contention.
Other bubble games of note
Minnesota (17-7, 5-6, RPI 23, KP 39) at Rutgers - Minnesota should pick up a road win here, they're favored by 5.5, which would make three straight wins after losing five consecutive to end January. They're currently projected in the field as a 7-9 seed and have nice road wins at Purdue and at Northwestern (ugh)
VCU (19-5, 9-2, RPI 26, KP 48) vs. Davidson - The Rams have won five straight, and should stretch that to nine when they have two consecutive road tests against Rhode Island and Dayton. They're an 8/9-seed and should find themselves dancing.
Southern California (21-4, 8-4, RPI 29, KP 55) vs. #5 Oregon - USC has won five straight, but now have three tough match-ups against Oregon, @ UCLA, and @ Arizona in a row. They are solidly in the field right now, but if they lose all three they may find themselves back on the bubble.
Oklahoma State (15-9, 4-7, RPI 30, KP 21) vs. Texas - The Cowboys are solidly in the field as an 8/9-seed, and should easily win today. They have a pretty easy slate to end the year, and should find themselves dancing.
Illinois State (20-5, 12-1, RPI 32, KP 44) vs Bradley - The Redbirds have a good win against Wichita State earlier this year, but also have three bad losses. They need to win out for a chance at an at-large birth.
TCU (17-7, 6-5, RPI 34, KP 33) at #6 Baylor - TCU is on the right side of the bubble as an 8-10 seed. They have nice wins against Iowa State, at Kansas State, against Texas Tech, and against Illinois State, but no real marquee wins. They do, undeniably, have a stronger resume than Wake and a win today may lock up a bid, barring a late-season collapse.
Cal (18-6, 9-3, RPI 35, KP 47) at #9 Arizona - Cal is in the field as an 8-10 seed, and will be close to double-digit dogs tonight. A loss won't hurt them and they should be a tournament team.
Seton Hall (15-8, 5-6, RPI 36, KP 53) at St. John's - They've won two straight overtime games, and head to Madison Square Garden in a toss up game. I don't truly understand the love they are getting from bracketologists, who currently have them as a 9-11 seed. They have a sub-0.500 record against top-200 RPI teams, but do have nice wins against Cal and South Carolina on a neutral floor, and against Marquette at home.
Middle Tennessee (21-4, 11-1, RPI 37, KP 50) vs. Charlotte - A loss at UTEP last weekend ruined their chances. Despite a strong RPI they are far on the outside and don't have any other opportunities for solid wins the rest of the way out.
Tennessee (14-10, 6-6, RPI 38, KP 37) - The Volunteers have won five of six, but still have a pretty weak resume overall. Today is a must-win.
UNC Wilmington (22-4, 11-2, RPI 42, KP 56) - Strong record but no quality wins. They need to win out for a chance at an at-large bid.
Kansas State (16-6, 5-6, RPI 44, KP 28) at #13 West Virginia - KSU narrowly missed a big win against Kansas on Monday, but was able to take down Baylor on the road last weekend. They're currently on the right side of the bubble - projected 9-11 seed - and an upset win here would put them solidly in the field.
Iowa State (14-9, 6-5, RPI 48, KP 76) vs. Oklahoma - The Cyclones are on the right side of the bubble as a 7-10 seed, but have lost three of four and are 8-9 against teams above 200 in KP. They should win today, and they need to in order to continue feeling comfortable.
Arkansas (17-7, 6-5, RPI 49, KP 59) at LSU - Razorbacks are considered one of the first four in/out. LSU is garbage, and while the Razorbacks are only 5-point favorites a loss today would really hurt.
Michigan State (14-10, 6-5, RPI 50, KP 58) vs. Iowa - The Spartans wish they could take back loss at home against Northeastern, and a semi-road game against Penn State. They're generally seen as a 10-seed, but have to end strong for a chance at the tourney.
Miami (16-7, 6-5, RPI 51, KP 40) at #4 Louisville - The Hurricanes are generally considered in the field, around a 9 or 10-seed, but still have some work to do to feel comfortable. They have a brutal final seven games, including @ Louisville, @ UVA, vs. Duke, and @ FSU. They may need to steal one of those to feel safe.
Clemson (13-10, 3-8, RPI 53, KP 43) at #18 Duke - three of the Tigers' ACC losses have come at a combined 5 points. They're big dogs today, but are running out of games to get some much-needed wins. After today, they essentially have four toss-up games in a row which will determine their post-season fate (vs. Wake, @ Miami, @ VaTech, vs. Florida State)
Illinois (14-11, 4-8, RPI 54, KP 67) vs. Penn State - They're off the bubble, but just picked up a nice road win at Northwestern (ugh). If they win their next two - vs. Penn State and @ Iowa - they'll face the Wildcats again in a game that could get them back in consideration.
Auburn (16-8, 5-6, RPI 56, KP 75) at Ole Miss (14-10, 5-6, RPI 70, KP 73) - Both teams are on the outside, so whoever wins will get a little boost. Neither has a great resume and both should be on the outside the rest of the way out.
Syracuse (16-9, 8-4, RPI 63, KP 46) at Pittsburgh - The Orange have won five straight and put themselves back on the right side of the bubble. They need to get to 11 ACC wins to feel safe on Selection Sunday.
Ohio State (15-10, 5-7, RPI 66, KP 60) at #21 Maryland - Ohio State made themselves relevant again over the past week, with a nice win at Michigan last Saturday and taking care of Rutgers mid-week. A win today would get them back in the conversation for the bubble.
Alabama (14-9, 7-4, RPI 67, KP 61) vs. #15 Kentucky - Alabama is no longer on the bubble, but picked up a nice mid-week win at South Carolina in four overtimes. A win today against Kentucky would get them back in the conversation.
Houston (17-7, 8-4, RPI 68, KP 38) at Tulsa - They have two sub-100 KP losses out of conference @ LSU and vs. Harvard. Their best win is against fellow bubble-team Rhode Island, so they don't have a big margin for error. They're three-point favorites, and they may not be able to recover from a loss today.
Marquette (15-9, 6-6, RPI 75, KP 35) at Georgetown - After beating Creighton and Villanova in consecutive games, Marquette has lost three of four - with their only win coming against bottom-feeder DePaul. The Hoyas were a borderline bubble-team until recently. Would be a nice road win for Marquette if they can pull it off (2.5 point underdogs)
Providence (14-11, 4-8, RPI 76, KP 62) vs. #22 Butler - They're off the bubble by a decent margin, but a win today, followed by a Wednesday win against Xavier, would get them back in the conversation. A loss today will likely end their season.
Georgia Tech (14-10, 5-6, RPI 77, KP 81) vs. Boston College - The Yellow Jackets have some quality wins (vs. UNC, vs. FSU, vs. Notre Dame, @ VCU), but their mediocre record is inflated by beating six sub-200 KP teams. They're on the bubble, but I don't see them getting in come Selection Sunday.
Utah (16-8, 7-5, RPI 79, KP 49) vs. Washington - The Utes are on the outside looking in. They're double-digit favorites today and need to win to stay alive.
Texas Tech (16-8, 4-7, RPI 89, KP 41) vs. #3 Kansas - TTU owes their brutal RPI to one of the worst non-conference schedules in the nation. They have wins against fellow bubble teams Kansas State and TCU, but played only one team in the KP top-100 during their non-conference slate (a loss on neutral floor to Auburn). A win here would be big.