What do you think is necessary for people to understand risk, better math skills and instruction? Is it because messaging has been so contradictory? So many people make statements like I’m now vaccinated I think I’ll go to a brewery patio, it’s like you could have done that shit the last few months. Always too many extremes, 2&2 hitting up Golden Corral in Myrtle Beach countered by people running outside with a mask on.
What do you think is necessary for people to understand risk, better math skills and instruction? Is it because messaging has been so contradictory? So many people make statements like I’m now vaccinated I think I’ll go to a brewery patio, it’s like you could have done that shit the last few months. Always too many extremes, 2&2 hitting up Golden Corral in Myrtle Beach countered by people running outside with a mask on.
It’s harder to make rational, risk based calculations when one of the outcomes is death.
Sure the risk is small, but avoiding the worst case scenario is worth not eating on a patio for a while.
NYTimes had a good article the other day, Irrational Covid Fears.
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/19/...elicopter-navalny.html?searchResultPosition=1
I mean there is a risk of death just getting to the restaurant. There isn’t much good evidence of covid spread outside and socially distanced.
It’s harder to make rational, risk based calculations when one of the outcomes is death.
Sure the risk is small, but avoiding the worst case scenario is worth not eating on a patio for a while.
A much smaller risk than dying from Covid. Especially if you’re walking.
And until a couple months ago, no one was definitely saying that outdoor transmission was rare.
I think what's frustrating to me about this line of thinking is that the risk of dying in, say, a car accident is way higher than dying from covid
there are inherent risks in everything we do in our daily lives -- usually very small risks -- but the hyper-focus on Covid makes it's rate of risk feel much higher than it actually is
and yes, the transmission component changes the calculation, but at the end of the day, there needs to be a risk threshold that we have to live with because it will never be wiped away completely, just like people die by car accident or the flu or side effects from medicines etc. -- not saying it's easy to pin that calculation down, but the frustration comes from people who talk about the risk level needing to be zero before things can move forward