deacvision7
Mod Emeritus
Ayotte is down TEN?!?! holy fuck
Toomey was up about 10 six weeks ago.
I think some of the Republicans in close races could be worried about turnout. If moderate Republicans stay home, they could have problems.
Which new polls?
I found both those NC polls surprising given the prior polling in NC. I'm believing they're outliers for both Clinton and Ross unless we start seeing more similar ones to back those up. That said, maybe more pro business Pubs who don't like the black eye the state has gotten are throwing their support to Clinton, Ross and Cooper.
I think McGinty will beat him due to Clinton 8-12% win in PA.
Everyone across the political spectrum had to be surprised at the speed and intensity of the nationwide response to HB2. Same thing for Pence getting clowned over his religious freedom law. Personally believe America needs and deserves a rational/reasonable center right party. GOP wipeouts in NC (Trump, McCrory, Burr), Florida (Trump, Little Marco), AZ (Trump, McCain), Georgia (Trump), Indiana (Pence), and Utah (Trump) would quicken the pace, but a clean sweep won't happen. As usual, social conservatives will read a mixed result as a false positive and screw themselves again in 2020.
Ross is up 2 on Burr in the latest NBC/WSJ/Marist. If Burr goes down then the GOP is in real trouble.
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Portman's in pretty good shape. He's moved left a little bit to get away from Trump and anything he skins off from independents and moderate Dems is gravy. Bad news is that OH hasn't split parties on POTUS/Senate since 1988.
PA (McGinty up 4) and FL (Little Marco up 3) are tight. Ayotte (down 10) is in deep shit.
Dems should be playing up the Zika problem as a GOP problem. Months ago Obama sent a request for funds to fight Zika, the GOP didn't pass it.
"Trump damage" is the same as claiming "Hillary's coattails." It seems rampant in this thread. Reagan by 18. LBJ by 20. Weren't these Mondale and Goldwater damage?
If you don't know anything about the subject, better to stay quiet and possibly be thought the fool, rather than confirm it.
Again how many stats classes were required for your PhD at Duke?