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KP Report on the Army Black Knight USMA

Pilchard

Pilchard

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Tomorrow night at 7 pm on ESPN 3, WF plays Army. Here is the KP evaluation of the Deacs' opponent:

Ranking and schedule: KP ranks the Black Knights as the #162 team in the nation. They are 5-3. Their best win was a 10 point home win over #197 Columbia. They have lost to Hofstra (#146 by 3), #189 Niagara (by 6) and last night to #218 Binghamton. WF is the highest ranked opponent (#69) on Army's schedule. The USMA has played a soft schedule to date #252.

Offense: Army has the #186 offense. Their strength is shooting the 3 (41.4% #21); 36 % of their offense comes from 3s (#68). Surprisingly for a team that shoots well from deep, the Black Knights have struggled from the line (66.3% # 284; largely due to their center Matt Wilson who is shooting 41% 9 for 22 from the line). Army also does not force many fouls on offense (#348 on FTA/FGA). USMA does play at a fast tempo (#39); so, it appears they chuck it as soon as they have an open shot.

Defense: Army has the #139 D. they play a variety of defenses. All of their defensive metrics are mediocre to poor. The Black Knights do not block shots (#279) and they foul often (#230 at FTA/FGA).

Tempo: As set forth above, Army plays at a fast tempo (they have scored 81 or more points in 5 of their 8 games).

Starting lineup: As you would expect the Black Knights are small -- 6-0, 6-1, 6-4, 6-6, 6-9; their leading scorer is guard Jordan Fox; he scored 33 against Marist (9 for 11 from 3), and he is shooting 47% from behind the arc. Army plays an 8 man rotation, and 4 of those players shot 41% or better from deep.

Both teams may be distracted. This is WF's last game before a 10 day exam break (several highly ranked teams have had off nights in the spot over the past week). The Army/Navy football game is Saturday (would guess that the hoop team will leave after the game for Philly to attend). KP projects an 82-71 WF win. A team that heavily relies on its 3 point shot is always dangerous, but think that WF's size, depth and renewed confidence should lead to a comfortable win.

WF's next 7 home opponents hold the following rankings: #21, #56, #31, #4, #5, #27, #36. It's about to get real.
 
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Why do I have a sense that Manning will react to their small size by going with our vaunted 4 guard line-up and thus giving Army a ton of wide open looks from 3.
 
Worried a little about this game, largely because of how well they shoot the 3. Hoping we can jump out to an early lead and never look back. If we come out passive and they hit some 3s early, it could be a long night.

More worried about going to Coastal Carolina, but we'll get to that later.
 
I’m very optimistic about this one (which is probably a bad sign. Sorry guys). Think we handle business again and we’re all left shaking our heads about liberty and drake
 
DeacsATS said:
Worried a little about this game, largely because of how well they shoot the 3. Hoping we can jump out to an early lead and never look back. If we come out passive and they hit some 3s early, it could be a long night.

More worried about going to Coastal Carolina, but we'll get to that later.
Click to expand...

Wake is also the 4th worst team in the nation at defending in transition and Army likes to run and press.

The good news is that Wake is pretty bad at defending three-point shots off of ball screens, and Army is more of a drive and kick to a spot-up shooter type of three-point shooting team, which we have (oddly enough) defended fairly well.

I'm more concerned about getting back in transition and limiting the turnovers than the 3 point shots falling. Their height is a big issue, as they have nobody over 6-9, and their backcourt is 6-0, and 6-1.
 
I too am concerned. If they are hitting their 3's we lose. If we fall in love with the 3 ball we lose-- Feed Doral
 
I still expect that we will win by 15+ points. We are by far the better team and think we show that tonight.

They just lost to Binghamton on the road by 5
 
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