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Covid-19 - Treatments & Vaccines

 
TenaciousKory said:
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His takes have been dunked on left and right for months now, a very good example of stay in your lane. Multiple times he has posted some epiphany only to learn through the piling on that it is a concept taught in any epi 100 course.
 
Ben Collins left out an important part of the ivermectin backstory, which is that there were some very promising reports which were published, and which have been included in metadata. Trouble is, the reports were not just wrong, but fraudulent, and in some cases have been retracted. However, they are still included in some meta analysis.

This link here on the NIH website is titled: Review of the Emerging Evidence Demonstrating the Efficacy of Ivermectin in the Prophylaxis and Treatment of COVID-19 but one of the primary contributors to this analysis is the fraudulent report which has been retracted
 
Louis Gossett Jr said:
His takes have been dunked on left and right for months now, a very good example of stay in your lane. Multiple times he has posted some epiphany only to learn through the piling on that it is a concept taught in any epi 100 course.
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This was my favorite one.

 
TenaciousKory said:
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Well I know the US is not 72% vaccinated and I know anybody can go get a shot within an hour of deciding to do so, so what the fuck does that 72% number actually mean ?
 
BiffTannen said:
Well I know the US is not 72% vaccinated and I know anybody can go get a shot within an hour of deciding to do so, so what the fuck does that 72% number actually mean ?
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don't know, but CDC currently says 72% of people > 12 have at least one dose
 
Covid-19 - Treatments & Vaccines

bmoneydeac said:
This was my favorite one.

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Nate Silver is good enough at analyzing numbers but he’s really bad at interpreting them. Consistently awful.

There’s also no excuse for someone who runs his own multimedia platform making public statements that should have been corrected in-house.
 
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PhDeac said:
Nate Silver is good enough at analyzing numbers but he’s really bad at interpreting them. Consistently awful.

There’s also no excuse for someone who runs his own multimedia platform making public statements that should have been corrected in-house.
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Silver's got strong skills at designing predictive models for complex systems and presenting them to the public/non-modelers, like predicting baseball player productivity or predicting electoral college tallies, but not so much at data / statistical modeling analysis. Also, maybe worth noting that about a year ago in the pandemic, ABC, who bought 538 a few years ago, slashed 538s staff.
 
Silver's statistical analyses are typically strong and well-founded. Like anything else, people seize and focus on when the analysis goes askew and act like that means there is no validity. Also, the fundamental principal of statistical analysis is that outlier results do happen. If something is statistically predicted happen only 6% of the time. That doesn't mean its never going to happen. If a terrible hitting pitcher bats often enough, even he will get a hit sometimes. When it happens, it doesn't mean that the statistical analysis that the pitcher had a 3 out of 50 chance to get a hit was wrong.
 
Covid-19 - Treatments & Vaccines

Pilchard said:
Silver's statistical analyses are typically strong and well-founded. Like anything else, people seize and focus on when the analysis goes askew and act like that means there is no validity. Also, the fundamental principal of statistical analysis is that outlier results do happen. If something is statistically predicted happen only 6% of the time. That doesn't mean its never going to happen. If a terrible hitting pitcher bats often enough, even he will get a hit sometimes. When it happens, it doesn't mean that the statistical analysis that the pitcher had a 3 out of 50 chance to get a hit was wrong.
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That is not what we are talking about.

Silver gets so stuck in models that he has a difficult time explaining easily understood shifts like purchase of COVID tests going up when school starts.
 
Uh oh, Angus

As the delta variant spreads through Florida, data published by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention suggest this could be the most serious and deadly surge in COVID-19 infections since the beginning of the pandemic.

As cases ballooned in August, however, the Florida Department of Health changed the way it reported death data to the CDC, giving the appearance of a pandemic in decline, an analysis of Florida data by the Miami Herald and el Nuevo Herald found.

On Monday, Florida death data would have shown an average of 262 daily deaths reported to the CDC over the previous week had the health department used its former reporting system, the Herald analysis showed. Instead, the Monday update from Florida showed just 46 “new deaths” per day over the previous seven days.
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https://amp.miamiherald.com/news/coronavirus/article253796898.html?__twitter_impression=true
 
574 people died from COVID in Florida yesterday. What a fucking shit show.
 
Highland Deac said:
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Anyone we know…?

mr-ed.jpg
 
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