IamThunderbolt
Well-known member
Also, early voting accounted for 95% of the total NC turnout in 2016
From some of the turnout numbers I'm seeing on twitter regarding Florida, it appears the republicans are having a huge turnout day and have wiped away the early voting lead democrats had. I'm starting to think Florida is going to go Trump which mostly likely means everything comes down to Penn. Seeing the R registration lead in Florida is now over what Trump won the state by in 2016.
So Biden would start to need a decent % of R's to cross over and probably a 10 point lead in independents. I'm not sure what the Independent polling was for Florida. But as a Biden voter I'm getting nervous. Maybe I'm just too scarred from 2016.
So the over/under for total votes cast is somewhere around 153M? That would be 14M more than 2016.
Interesting. Not sure how Davidson as a city leans, but clearly Meck is strong Dem. If that is reflective of Meck overall that would not seem to be good for Biden as they need to win big in Meck, wake and Buncombe to offset all the rural counties. Granted it could be because of all the mail-in and early voting depending on how that breaks down.
Any rural county NC board members here to give a sense of voting lines???
He's talking about Davidson County, not Davidson, NC. Probably not great for Cal Cunningham to have light turnout in his home county today though.
From some of the turnout numbers I'm seeing on twitter regarding Florida, it appears the republicans are having a huge turnout day and have wiped away the early voting lead democrats had. I'm starting to think Florida is going to go Trump which mostly likely means everything comes down to Penn. Seeing the R registration lead in Florida is now over what Trump won the state by in 2016.
So Biden would start to need a decent % of R's to cross over and probably a 10 point lead in independents. I'm not sure what the Independent polling was for Florida. But as a Biden voter I'm getting nervous. Maybe I'm just too scarred from 2016.
He's talking about Davidson County, not Davidson, NC. Probably not great for Cal Cunningham to have light turnout in his home county today though.
Davidson county went trump by 48% in 2016. Cal would be just fine with low turnout thereHe's talking about Davidson County, not Davidson, NC. Probably not great for Cal Cunningham to have light turnout in his home county today though.
To be clear 68% of GOP registered voters in FL voted early. 67% of Dems. 52% of registered independents.
There were about 9M votes case early out of about 14M registered voters. The amount of turnout either side can get today is "capped" bc you can't register on election day. So the current math hinges on where the new numbers were coming from today. For instance, did the panhandle open first?
Interesting. Not sure how Davidson as a city leans, but clearly Meck is strong Dem. If that is reflective of Meck overall that would not seem to be good for Biden as they need to win big in Meck, wake and Buncombe to offset all the rural counties. Granted it could be because of all the mail-in and early voting depending on how that breaks down.
Any rural county NC board members here to give a sense of voting lines???
To be clear 68% of GOP registered voters in FL voted early. 67% of Dems. 52% of registered independents.
There were about 9M votes case early out of about 14M registered voters. The amount of turnout either side can get today is "capped" bc you can't register on election day. So the current math hinges on where the new numbers were coming from today. For instance, did the panhandle open first?
So the over/under for total votes cast is somewhere around 153M? That would be 14M more than 2016.
Looks like Republicans now have a 130,000 vote advantage based on party registration. as of 1:30pm (includes early vote totals too). Though there is 2.3Million non party affiliated votes, I don't know how those are split.