Pilchard
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The ACC COY will lead our Deacs into the Barclays Center to play BC in Game 5 of the 2022 ACC Tournament. Here is an update on the WF opponent and the KP Projection:
Link to the previous BC scouting reports: https://www.ogboards.com/forums/showthread.php/33285-MBB-Game-21-BC-LJVM-Monday-6-pm-ACCN
Last WF/BC matchup: WF throttled BC 87-57 on January 24. The ACC POY led WF that night with 20 points, 7 boards and 7 assists. Five Deacs scored in double figures: Davien 12, LaRavia 11, Walton and Sy had 10. Also, Carter Whitt had his most productive ACC game of the season that night with 6 points in 2 assists in 16 minutes. BC had a miserable offensive game against WF shooting 26% from 2, and 24% from 3. 7 footer Quinten Post led the Eagles with 13 points. WF's 30 point drubbing was BC's worst loss of the season. WF is better than BC, but the Eagles won't play that poorly on Wednesday in the ACCT.
BC season update: After the WF loss, BC went 4-9 with two wins over Pitt, a home win over FSU and a road win at NC State. BC was generally competitive down the stretch. In addition to the 4 post-WF wins, BC lost OT games at ND (99-95 - BC led by 5 with less than 4 minutes left) and at GT in the regular season finale. After losing to WF, BC also stayed reasonably competitive in losses to Duke (72-61), UNC (58-47) and Miami (81-70).
BC forward TJ Bickerstaff is just returning for injury; so, BC essentially plays with 4 guards on the floor at all times with either 6-9 James Karnik or 7-0 Quinten Post up front (note that both Post and Karnik started against Pitt in the ACCT and each scored in double figures; if BC tries that big lineup against WF; would expect Jake to have a big day as neither Karnik nor Post can cover Jake). The Eagles' leading scorers are the Langford brothers (Makai averages 12 and DeMarr 11). BC third leading scorer is freshman guard Jaeden Zackery, who has played well recently scoring in double figures in 4 of BC last 6 games. BC is the worst shooting team in the ACC as the Eagles rank DFL in effective FG% (46% - WF is first in the ACC at 57%) and in 3 point FG% 28% in ACC games. BC did shoot 46% from 3 (7 for 15) in the ACCT win over Pitt.
Projection: KP projects 76-66 WF win in 68 possessions. BC is a scrappy team with a solid coach in Earl Grant. They limit possessions and hustle on D. That's a good resume for tournament success, but not this year, and not against this WF team. This game arguably matches up the best offensive ACC team against the worst ACC offensive team. WF has matchup advantages all over the floor. A slow WF start would not surprise me as the Barclays Center will likely be dead for this matchup. Even so, WF is rested and motivated as a win may lock up an NCAA bid. Expect the line to be 11+, don't like the WF side as BC will fight for 40 minutes, and Forbes may use his bench liberally as WF may have to play multiple games on consecutive days. I would lean under if the total is 142 or more. Deacs win, and will play in an ACC quarterfinal for the first time in 15 years, can that possibly be correct?
Link to the previous BC scouting reports: https://www.ogboards.com/forums/showthread.php/33285-MBB-Game-21-BC-LJVM-Monday-6-pm-ACCN
Last WF/BC matchup: WF throttled BC 87-57 on January 24. The ACC POY led WF that night with 20 points, 7 boards and 7 assists. Five Deacs scored in double figures: Davien 12, LaRavia 11, Walton and Sy had 10. Also, Carter Whitt had his most productive ACC game of the season that night with 6 points in 2 assists in 16 minutes. BC had a miserable offensive game against WF shooting 26% from 2, and 24% from 3. 7 footer Quinten Post led the Eagles with 13 points. WF's 30 point drubbing was BC's worst loss of the season. WF is better than BC, but the Eagles won't play that poorly on Wednesday in the ACCT.
BC season update: After the WF loss, BC went 4-9 with two wins over Pitt, a home win over FSU and a road win at NC State. BC was generally competitive down the stretch. In addition to the 4 post-WF wins, BC lost OT games at ND (99-95 - BC led by 5 with less than 4 minutes left) and at GT in the regular season finale. After losing to WF, BC also stayed reasonably competitive in losses to Duke (72-61), UNC (58-47) and Miami (81-70).
BC forward TJ Bickerstaff is just returning for injury; so, BC essentially plays with 4 guards on the floor at all times with either 6-9 James Karnik or 7-0 Quinten Post up front (note that both Post and Karnik started against Pitt in the ACCT and each scored in double figures; if BC tries that big lineup against WF; would expect Jake to have a big day as neither Karnik nor Post can cover Jake). The Eagles' leading scorers are the Langford brothers (Makai averages 12 and DeMarr 11). BC third leading scorer is freshman guard Jaeden Zackery, who has played well recently scoring in double figures in 4 of BC last 6 games. BC is the worst shooting team in the ACC as the Eagles rank DFL in effective FG% (46% - WF is first in the ACC at 57%) and in 3 point FG% 28% in ACC games. BC did shoot 46% from 3 (7 for 15) in the ACCT win over Pitt.
Projection: KP projects 76-66 WF win in 68 possessions. BC is a scrappy team with a solid coach in Earl Grant. They limit possessions and hustle on D. That's a good resume for tournament success, but not this year, and not against this WF team. This game arguably matches up the best offensive ACC team against the worst ACC offensive team. WF has matchup advantages all over the floor. A slow WF start would not surprise me as the Barclays Center will likely be dead for this matchup. Even so, WF is rested and motivated as a win may lock up an NCAA bid. Expect the line to be 11+, don't like the WF side as BC will fight for 40 minutes, and Forbes may use his bench liberally as WF may have to play multiple games on consecutive days. I would lean under if the total is 142 or more. Deacs win, and will play in an ACC quarterfinal for the first time in 15 years, can that possibly be correct?
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