Pilchard
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KP has UVA as the #5 team in the country. The Hoos are 11-3 (1-2). Top 100 wins: L'ville (#10), Cal (#46), tOSU (#48), Providence (#76), Iowa (#80). Losses: WV (#2), FSU (#20) and Pitt (#55 in OT).
UVA has the #17 offense and the #4 defense. They are the slowest tempo team in the nation out of the 351 D-1 teams. Even so, Bennett complained after the Pitt game that UVA surrendered too many fast break opportunities. Keeping WF from running will be a priority for UVA tonight.
On offense, UVA doesn't turn the ball over (#16 in TO%) and shoots well (#28 in effective FG%), (#35 in 3 PT% - 39.4%), (#44 in 2 PT FG% - 53%). UVA is ridiculous on defense as they turnover their opponents (#15), don't give up offensive rebounds (#34) and don't give up a high FG% (#10 in effective FG%; #2 in 2 PT FG% 39%). While not a weakness, they haven't been great in defending the 33% (#101). Opponents score 36% of their points against UVA from 3.
UVA is not huge: 6-2, 6-3, 6-5, 6-7, 6-11 (their center Jack Salt only plays 35% of the time; so they are typically smaller than that); even so, because their pack-line defense defends inside so well, it is very hard to score on UVA in the interior. Defending the 3 will be key for WF as UVA's guards shoot the 3 very well (Perrentes 37.5%; frosh Kyle Guy 55% - #7 in the nation).
As always under Bennett, UVA is a team that is greater than the sum of its parts, KP predicts a 70-58 UVA win; the Vegas line opened at 10 and it has moved to 11.5; the total is 133. WF will get UVA's full attention as UVA is off two heartbreaking losses to FSU on a buzzer beater and to Pitt in OT. For WF to hang and possibly steal one, WF will need to shoot the 3 well (Dinos having a LSU type of game would help), defend the 3 and not fall behind early. Notwithstanding the inexplicable loss to Cuse in the Final 8 last year, Bennett's teams grind other teams down when they get out to a lead. Very tough spot for the Deacs, but the individual matchups are not daunting.
UVA has the #17 offense and the #4 defense. They are the slowest tempo team in the nation out of the 351 D-1 teams. Even so, Bennett complained after the Pitt game that UVA surrendered too many fast break opportunities. Keeping WF from running will be a priority for UVA tonight.
On offense, UVA doesn't turn the ball over (#16 in TO%) and shoots well (#28 in effective FG%), (#35 in 3 PT% - 39.4%), (#44 in 2 PT FG% - 53%). UVA is ridiculous on defense as they turnover their opponents (#15), don't give up offensive rebounds (#34) and don't give up a high FG% (#10 in effective FG%; #2 in 2 PT FG% 39%). While not a weakness, they haven't been great in defending the 33% (#101). Opponents score 36% of their points against UVA from 3.
UVA is not huge: 6-2, 6-3, 6-5, 6-7, 6-11 (their center Jack Salt only plays 35% of the time; so they are typically smaller than that); even so, because their pack-line defense defends inside so well, it is very hard to score on UVA in the interior. Defending the 3 will be key for WF as UVA's guards shoot the 3 very well (Perrentes 37.5%; frosh Kyle Guy 55% - #7 in the nation).
As always under Bennett, UVA is a team that is greater than the sum of its parts, KP predicts a 70-58 UVA win; the Vegas line opened at 10 and it has moved to 11.5; the total is 133. WF will get UVA's full attention as UVA is off two heartbreaking losses to FSU on a buzzer beater and to Pitt in OT. For WF to hang and possibly steal one, WF will need to shoot the 3 well (Dinos having a LSU type of game would help), defend the 3 and not fall behind early. Notwithstanding the inexplicable loss to Cuse in the Final 8 last year, Bennett's teams grind other teams down when they get out to a lead. Very tough spot for the Deacs, but the individual matchups are not daunting.
