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Official 2018 NBA Offseason Thread: the preseason cometh

The difference between us is I don't care if you or anyone else agrees.

If another team is 50% more likely to win than you are, by any reasonable definition of the term, you are a longshot to win that game.
 
RJKarl said:
The difference between us is I don't care if you or anyone else agrees.

If another team is 50% more likely to win than you are, by any reasonable definition of the term, you are a longshot to win that game.
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LOL !!
 
but it's not a longshot if you're 50% more likely to miss the shot than make it. got it.
 
RJKarl said:
The difference between us is I don't care if you or anyone else agrees.

If another team is 50% more likely to win than you are, by any reasonable definition of the term, you are a longshot to win that game.
Click to expand...

long shot
ˈlôNG ˌSHät/
noun
noun: longshot

a venture or guess that has only the slightest chance of succeeding or being accurate.

only 40% of the time is so slight
 
40% in the NBA=33 wins 60%=49 wins

It's a longshot that on any give night that team who is 16 games behind another would beat them.
 
palma is right about Blake being a sneaky darkhorse MVP candidate

dude is killing it right now
 
why are we going from a more descriptive way of describing likelihood to a more abstract one ? ! ?
 
RJKarl said:
40% in the NBA=33 wins 60%=49 wins

It's a longshot that on any give night that team who is 16 games behind another would beat them.
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Hey dumbass. Have you considered that this 49-win team might have an 80% chance of beating an 8-win team and a 10% chance of beating the team that's clearly better than them ?
 
RJKarl said:
40% in the NBA=33 wins 60%=49 wins

It's a longshot that on any give night that team who is 16 games behind another would beat them.
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What if the 33 win team is in a tougher conference than the 49 win team?
 
RJ, in the NBA, a team with 40% odds of winning a given game is likely a 3.5 point underdog. A 3.5 point underdog winning a game would not be a longshot, though it's obvious to everyone but you that a 40% likelihood of anything happening is not a longshot.
 
deacfan78 said:
What if the 33 win team is in a tougher conference than the 49 win team?
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regardless a 33 win quality team beats a 49 win quality team all the time! probably like 4 out of 10 or something. if only there was a way to get to the heart of it and describe how likely it was with one number.
 
Blake seems to have a game that doesn't fit well with others, like an anti-Draymond
 
deac29 said:
RJ, in the NBA, a team with 40% odds of winning a given game is likely a 3.5 point underdog. A 3.5 point underdog winning a game would not be a longshot, though it's obvious to everyone but you that a 40% likelihood of anything happening is not a longshot.
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If a game is 52-48, there's a theoretical 4% better chance for the favorite win. In a 60/40 game, it's theoretically a 20% difference. That's five times as big a spread.
 
RJKarl said:
If a game is 52-48, there's a theoretical 4% better chance for the favorite win. In a 60/40 game, it's theoretically a 20% difference. That's five times as big a spread.
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Um, no. The Rockets are -3, -145 to win at Charlotte tonight. -145 money line has an implied probability of 59.2%
 
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