2024 Races (Non-president)

[Ball State Deac]

Chipper Jones is very, very clearly a big truck, Don't Tread on Me, Maga dipshit. Helluva player. But all in on the pub train

Meanwhile, the White Sox just re-signed Mike Clevinger. Woof.

 

[BarcaDeac]

Yeah. Politics are heavily partisan but people still vote for individuals.

Probably why reasonable-ass Roy Cooper won twice against despised McCory and crazy Forrest when Trump was on the ballot. Mark Robinson won last time, yeah, but hopefully he loses directly to reasonable-ass Josh Stein. There's gonna be a ton of national focus on the race due to how crazy Robinson is.

 

[avalon]

I'm a bit late to this, but thank goodness Summer Lee was able to beat her Republican- and AIPAC-funded challenger earlier this week. Handily. It's heartening to see the success of campaigns that have done the hard work of organizing on the ground.

 

[PhDeac]

Big MD Dem primary win for Angela Alsobrooks over Total Wine founder Trone (54.0 to 41.9) to set up a huge race against Larry Hogan.

Angela Alsobrooks' primary win for Maryland Senate seat set polling data on fire

Despite being significantly outspent, Alsobrooks defeated her Democratic primary opponent by a wide margin. There are lessons here.

www.msnbc.com

Money isn’t everything​

Trone, the billionaire founder of the retail chain Total Wine, plunged more than $60 million of his own fortune into his campaign, far outspending Alsobrooks. Trone had even suggested that his deep pockets would be a boon for Democrats were he the nominee, because it would mean they could spend money on key races in other states. But money isn’t everything, and Trone has shown that even well-heeled campaigns can falter when their candidate lacks a coherent case to make to voters. It also helped that high-profile Maryland Democrats teamed up like the Avengers to boost Alsobrooks.

The only polls that matter are the ones on Election Day​

No major poll leading into Tuesday’s primary race predicted Alsobrooks’ convincing margin of victory. Multiple polls showed the race in a dead heat, and a few even had Trone with a lead (which seemed to cause a lot of liberal hand-wringing). But the results show concerns about Trone-mentum were overblown. Poll numbers have always had the power to distort public perception of outcomes, and Maryland’s Democratic Senate primary showed again how problematic data can be in analysts' attempts to gauge voter preferences. Alsobrooks’ primary win also affirmed an old political adage: The only polls that matter are the ones that open on Election Day.

 

[Deaconblue]

Alsobrooks against Hogan is going to be a tough race. Maryland is very blue, almost 2:1. Hogan is well liked in Maryland as former governor. He is one of the very few vocal anti-Trump Republicans.

It would be ironic if an anti-Trump republican flipped the Senate so the MAGA crowd can frustrate Biden, should he be re-elected, or allow the continued court packing should Tump win.

 

[PhDeac]

I under why people think that. But I also don’t see MD voting for the Republican who would stop Dems from maintaining a majority under Biden. Hogan has a tough task convincing people he will stand up to Republicans on the Trump agenda or a national abortion ban.