Manifest Destiny
Broderick Hicks
Looking for a good thursday night play. Deacs are 1.5 dawg. Will they win this game?
Probably should ask the ultimate sports king of all knowledge, greater than everyone else on this board combined................. your brother.
This line opened over the Summer at 6.5 or 7. With a flood of action on ULM, the Warhawks are now favored by 1.5. While 1st week lines fluctuate more than any other week, that is a huge line change absent massive suspensions and/or injuries. One handicapping technique is bet against any line move over 4 points as the line-makers typically hold the edge over public money (IOW, the public is more often wrong when it backs one side). This line has moved 8+ points, which gives WF a lot value.
With that said, how can anyone confidently predict what WF is going to do on offense? After suffering through a miserable season on offense last year, WF is starting a true frosh at QB, a converted WR at RB, and a RS frosh at TE, and no WR/SE with a strong track record. The "strength" on offense is an OL, which has under-performed for years, and apparently was called for a ton of penalties during fall scrimmages.
Who would be shocked if John Wolford struggled in his first start? OTOH, who would be shocked if Clawson did not have a few tricks up his sleeve, and WF busted some big plays with talent that frankly is above what ULM can field? This game is full of great unknowns, and anyone claiming that this game is lock has no clue.
If I had to play it, I would take WF because of the line value, but no result would shock me. Pass.
As sad as it sounds, I don't think that is true.
Even for Grobe's worst class, WF recruited at a level above ULM.
You'll see the best matchups with their WR group against our DBs I think. Our secondary is pretty good though. I'd put it up against the best players on ULM.