TownieDeac
words are futile devices
- Joined
- Mar 16, 2011
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Collins' PER last year was 21.8, which is pretty decent, and was the 2nd best PER on the team behind Devin Thomas (23.8). Collins' conference numbers declined a little bit to 18.3, which was 2nd best on the team for players that logged more than 200 minutes (Moore had a PER in conference play of 34.1, but played just over half the minutes that Collins did). Collins also had the 2nd highest eFG% and TS% on the team after Moore. His win shares per 40 minutes was also the highest on the team; obviously his actual win shares were lower because he played fewer minutes due to not starting and have persistent foul trouble. In short, the advanced numbers showed the Collins was an effective and efficient player while he was on the floor.
In spite of playing more minutes, Collins' PER is substantially higher this year (34.5). Almost all of his advanced numbers have improved this year over last. I'm not any kind of expert to say whether his numbers from last year predicted an improvement of the kind we have seen this year, but my guess is that development of Collins' degree is pretty rare.
You don't typically expect advanced stats to get better with more minutes, because advanced stats tend to measure or at least account in some way for efficiency, and efficiency tends to go down with minutes. Still, there is something predictive in advanced stats over counting stats in that if you're an efficient and effective player, your counting stats will likely improve if your minutes increase.
The annoying thing about these arguments is that rj and the dorks basically argue the same thing, which is that context-less stats are not very useful. The dorks just have to use a lot of words to get to the same nuance and caveats that rj has with THIS IS MEANINGLESS.