DeacWatcher
Ricky Peral
I was going to wait a while before we got into this but Scalia's death moves it to the spotlight now. Certain Pubs could get primaryed if they were to say they were in favor of someone Obama nominated for SCOTUS.
The Dems are defending 10 seats this election and the only 2 possible pickups for the Pubs are CO & NV. Michael Bennett is up for a 2nd term in CO and is a huge fundraiser for Dems so he is probably safer than newcomer Catherine Masto who is seeking to replace Harry Reid in NV. NV represents the best possible pickup for the Pubs but if Latino turnout is high on election day it may not matter.
The Pubs are defending 24 seats but many are safe in very conservative states. Obviously IL (Kirk), WI (Johnson), FL (Rubio), & NH (Ayotte) are the most vulnerable and all but Ayotte will probably fall to the Dems. Ayotte is tangled up with 3 term governor Maggie Hassan in a race that will be tight all the way to election night. Portman in OH could be vulnerable if former Governor Ted Strickland gets his act together, no one really on either side has declared to run in Louisiana, & Blunt could be vulnerable in Mizzou along with Boozman in Arkansas if the cards really fell right for the Dems as they did for the Pubs in 2014.
It'll be interesting to watch as control is on the line and the Dems should get at least 3 pickups and maybe more depending on turnout.
The Dems are defending 10 seats this election and the only 2 possible pickups for the Pubs are CO & NV. Michael Bennett is up for a 2nd term in CO and is a huge fundraiser for Dems so he is probably safer than newcomer Catherine Masto who is seeking to replace Harry Reid in NV. NV represents the best possible pickup for the Pubs but if Latino turnout is high on election day it may not matter.
The Pubs are defending 24 seats but many are safe in very conservative states. Obviously IL (Kirk), WI (Johnson), FL (Rubio), & NH (Ayotte) are the most vulnerable and all but Ayotte will probably fall to the Dems. Ayotte is tangled up with 3 term governor Maggie Hassan in a race that will be tight all the way to election night. Portman in OH could be vulnerable if former Governor Ted Strickland gets his act together, no one really on either side has declared to run in Louisiana, & Blunt could be vulnerable in Mizzou along with Boozman in Arkansas if the cards really fell right for the Dems as they did for the Pubs in 2014.
It'll be interesting to watch as control is on the line and the Dems should get at least 3 pickups and maybe more depending on turnout.
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