WFUWaldo
Steve Lepore
FYI - USA Today's projection from this morning has Wake as the second team out.
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Right but when you take into account quality of opponents and margin of victory Duke is a top 15 team.
If you are evaluating our team based on quality of opponent and margin of victory then it doesn't make sense to ignore quality of opponents and margin of victory when evaluating the quality of our opponent.
As long as you're including the ACCT, no one's really suggesting otherwise.
Only scenario I could see at 17-14 would be if we're in the 8-9 game and we lose to a non-bubble team, like a Duke or maybe Clemson/VT if they've secured their spot by then
FYI - USA Today's projection from this morning has Wake as the second team out.
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Sure it does. What use is quality of opponent and margin of victory 2 months ago when that team is playing poorly now with a significantly different roster and without their HOF coach? They aren't the same team, both literally and figuratively.
I'm pretty sure KP weights towards recency and Duke's rating has been consistently in the teens since early on in ACC play I believe.
So there is no material effect of Coach K coaching a young team versus Jeff Capel? Okay. That alone should be enough evidence to ignore KenPom in its entirety.
So there is no material effect of Coach K coaching a young team versus Jeff Capel? Okay. That alone should be enough evidence to ignore KenPom in its entirety.
Lot of hate for a prediction service that is 22-0 picking WF games this year.
seems like not only 22-0 but often very close on the margins of victory.
I'm glad a thread on the bubble watch has turned into 90% a kenpom argument that has been debated for years. This is why we can't have nice things.
If we were winning more basketball games I'd think it likely this 'statistical emphasis' wouldn't get as much traction otherwise.
One of those 17 would have to be Louisville or @Duke which would leave us with a projected RPI of 40 or 42 respectively.
Could easily be enough. Actually 49 is the highest RPI not to make it from a big conference since the field expanded to 68.
Non-conference SOS seems to year in, year out be the reason why some teams make it and others don't, and we have a huge edge on many of the teams we're competing against there (Miami and GT to name a few from our own conference)