'17 Specials & '18 Midterms Thread

[cville deac]

Ph, how do you see the FBI investigation into some other folks in his Tallahassee administration affecting the race? Sounds like he's not a direct target but that the investigation is not likely to be concluded before the general election.

 

[PhDeac]

Ph, how do you see the FBI investigation into some other folks in his Tallahassee administration affecting the race? Sounds like he's not a direct target but that the investigation is not likely to be concluded before the general election.

I think it's a non-issue for Democrats. DeSantis is going to have a tough time focusing on the FBI without addressing the many elephants in the room also being investigated by the FBI.

 

[JuiceCrewAllStar]

YouGov '08 survey (said 24% Clinton to McCain, I've yet to figure out a way to get at the data) -> http://isps.yale.edu/research/data/d130
Duke '08 survey (said 25% Clinton to McCain, looks like small sample size) -> https://sites.duke.edu/hillygus/files/2014/06/hendersonhillygustompsonPOQ.pdf

this is wild to me, but thanks for sharing

 

[Lectro]

Red Tide set to Devour Blue Wave

 

[ImTheCaptain]

Red Tide set to Devour Blue Wave

nah

 

[DeacWatcher]

Red Tide set to Devour Blue Wave

Dream on

 

[cville deac]

I think it's a non-issue for Democrats. DeSantis is going to have a tough time focusing on the FBI without addressing the many elephants in the room also being investigated by the FBI.

Who else in FL is under investigation?

 

[Lectro]

Florida will go Red — completely.

Desantis will crush Sanders’ Venezuelan protege Gillum

Meanwhile, Rick Scott is to send the addle-minded Bill Nelson on into assisted living.

 

[myDeaconmyhand]

First polling from Florida.
http://files.constantcontact.com/a97ff0ce601/d420c047-65fd-49bd-9631-f7d774d9c41d.pdf


DeSantis is -4% in favorability overall and -29% among Independents and -39% among people who didn't vote for Hillary or Trump or didn't vote at all. By comparison, Gillum is +18 overall, +37% among Independents and +23% among people who didn't vote for Hillary or Trump.

Independents are leaning heavily to the Democrats. Gillum wins each age group. Nelson only loses among his fellow 65 and over crowd.

I believe Gillum is going to do very well with indy and unaffiliated voters

 

[Lectro]

First polling from Florida.
http://files.constantcontact.com/a97ff0ce601/d420c047-65fd-49bd-9631-f7d774d9c41d.pdf


DeSantis is -4% in favorability overall and -29% among Independents and -39% among people who didn't vote for Hillary or Trump or didn't vote at all. By comparison, Gillum is +18 overall, +37% among Independents and +23% among people who didn't vote for Hillary or Trump.

Independents are leaning heavily to the Democrats. Gillum wins each age group. Nelson only loses among his fellow 65 and over crowd.

Not a good poll since it is Dem controlled. Looking at the numbers I’d say Desantis is up by an easy 10 point lead and Scott is up 6 on brain-fried Billy

 

[Gooner]

Not a good poll since it is Dem controlled. Looking at the numbers I’d say Desantis is up by an easy 10 point lead and Scott is up 6 on brain-fried Billy

So what you're saying is you agree with Lord Commander Trump that polls have to be adjusted between 8-12 points toward Republicans because the people putting the polls together are biased?

 

[Lectro]

Looking forward to Steyer and Soros throwing more money down the pipe in Florida.

Couldn’t happen to two more miserable sobs

 

[Wakeforest22890]

538's analysis of Public Policy Polling is that it is a Dem +.3 bias. So basically nothing.

The odds of DeSantis being up by 10 percent when he's down by 5 in this poll is under 1%.

 

[PhDeac]

Who else in FL is under investigation?

No one in FL that I know of. But he's usually down here on the weekends.

 

[Gooner]

538's analysis of Public Policy Polling is that it is a Dem +.3 bias. So basically nothing.

The odds of DeSantis being up by 10 percent when he's down by 5 in this poll is under 1%.

We don't call you numbers for nothing, my dude.

 

[Wakeforest22890]

So what you're saying is you agree with Lord Commander Trump that polls have to be adjusted between 8-12 points toward Republicans because the people putting the polls together are biased?

Again, he doesn't know his ass from a hole in the ground. He has no knowledge of polls whatsoever.

That bell is ringing again. Dems leading in a poll? SOROS!

 

[Lectro]

So what you're saying is you agree with Lord Commander Trump that polls have to be adjusted between 8-12 points toward Republicans because the people putting the polls together are biased?

Same as it was the morning of the election in 2016.

Memory Hole much..

 

[ImTheCaptain]

Not a good poll since it is Dem controlled. Looking at the numbers I’d say Desantis is up by an easy 10 point lead and Scott is up 6 on brain-fried Billy

lol what a loser.

 

[Gooner]

Same as it was the morning of the election in 2016.

Memory Hole much..

So you don't believe in margin of error?

 

[PhDeac]

538's analysis of Public Policy Polling is that it is a Dem +.3 bias. So basically nothing.

The odds of DeSantis being up by 10 percent when he's down by 5 in this poll is under 1%.

Yeah, but 538 is biased and you're biased. When you add up your bias on top of 538's bias on top of PPP's bias, that's like a 30% lead for DeSantis.