Henry Chinaski
Steve Lepore
- Joined
- Mar 27, 2011
- Messages
- 3,500
- Reaction score
- 1,127
Alas this sounds about right to me. Serious q: should he win what would happen at end of his second term? Do we really think there will be a peaceful exchange of power (a hallmark of any modern democracy)? They’ve crossed a million lines once thought sacrosanct, but that would be something else...
As long as the economy stays good it's going to be very tough for any Democrat to beat Trump, at least in the electoral vote, imo. He's got a massive war chest, powerful propaganda organs in Fox News, Fox Business, Breitbart, Facebook, etc., and a base that will work overtime to get him another term. I don't see him taking VA, but Florida is a real possibility as he won it last time, and the 2018 FL Senate and Governor elections (both Democrats were ahead in the polls right up to election day, I believe) have left me pessimistic about the Dem's chances there. I still think Trump will lose the national popular vote again, possibly by even more than last time. But currently he's got a real edge in the Electoral College, and it's going to be hard for any Democratic candidate to beat him - not impossible, and he's definitely vulnerable, but anyone who thinks beating Trump will or should be easy is fooling themselves.