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2014 Midterm Elections

Unless the GOP takes the Senate, a status quo election is the best outcome for the GOP. They'd already control the Senate but they blew 4 or 5 winnable Senate elections by nominating Tea Party wingnuts. 60 GOP Senators probably never happens, and certainly doesn't happen in 2015. As noted, historically the out of power parties almost always pick up seats during midterms. The Tea Party will point to 2010 and 2014 and claim that McCain and Mitt were too moderate. It's absurd to believe that conservatives would have preferred Obama's second term to moderate Mitt, but that's Tea Party gospel. Electoral college demographics greatly favor Dems and a Tea Party nominee at the top of the ticket can't win in 2016 no matter how badly Obama's last three years goes. A moderate 'Pub is a different story.
 
I think the 13% concept is not pertinent. What's relevant is the margin in close districts.

What I'd like to see is the numbers or collar/suburban districts. Are there at least 20-30 of those that are currently held by Republicans. This is where turnover could be more likely as this is where many elections were won by small percentages.

If the radicals in the GOP shut down the government, the collar districts could turn.
 
Why? Are we on strike? What's next... hacking the front page with a JibJab showing Boehner skull-fucking RJ?
 
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