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5-7 WF receiving a bowl invite? Here is the breakdown.

Pilchard

Pilchard

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This year, there are 41 FBS bowl games, needing 82 teams.

As of Sunday, 67 teams have 6+ wins. There are 24 additional teams with a chance of still gaining bowl eligibility with their remaining games.

The current 5 win teams and their opponent for the final week of the regular season:

Eastern Michigan (5-6) at Buffalo (3-8); Line: Buff -5.5
Mississippi State (5-6) at Ole Miss (9-2); Line: Ole Miss -11
TCU (5-6) at OU (9-2); Line: OU -11
Iowa (9-2) at Nebraska (5-6): Line: Neb -2.5
Toledo (10-1) at CMU (5-6); Line: Toledo -10.5
Utah State (5-6) at New Mexico (4-7); Line: Utah State -7.5
Houston (4-7) at UCF (5-6): Line: UCF -13.5
Navy (5-5) at SMU (9-2): Line: SMU -20 (note Navy plays at Army too)
N. Illinois (5-6) at Kent (1-10); Line: NIU -19
FAU (4-7) at Rice (5-6); Line Rice: -5
WF (4-7) at Cuse (5-6); Line: Cuse -2.5
GA State (6-5) at ODU (5-6): Line: ODU -2.5
ULM (2-9) at Louisiana (5-6): Line: UL -12
BYU (5-6) at OK State (8-3); Line: OK State -17.5
NW (6-5) at Illinois (5-6); Line: Illinois -6
Wisconsin (6-5) at Minnesota (5-6); Line: Wisconsin -2
VT (5-6) at UVA (3-8); Line: VT -2.5
Arkansas State (6-5) at Marshall (5-6); Line: Marshall -2.5
Wazzu (5-6) at Washington (11-0); Line: Washington -16.5
FSU (11-0) at Florida (5-6): Line: FSU -6
Clemson (7-4) at S. Carolina (5-6); Line: Clemson -7
Charlotte (3-8) at USF (5-6); Line: USF -6
Cal (5-6) at UCLA (7-4); Line: UCLA -8.5
Colorado State (5-6) at Hawaii (4-8); Line CSU -5.5

As PhDeac noted, Minnesota is the only potential 5 win team that has an equal to or better APR than WF.

According to this article, WF and Minnesota have the same APR

For WF to have a chance as a 5 win team, they would need to beat Cuse, which would eliminate the Orange.

Of the above games except for the WF/Cuse game, the 5-6 team is favored in 12 of them. So, if the favorites won every game involving 5-6 teams (except for WF/Cuse), there would be 79 teams with 6 or more wins. Leaving three spots to fill with non-6 win teams. In addition, if there aren't enough 6 win teams, then transitioning teams with 6 or more wins in their 2nd year of reclassification to FBS get in. IIRC, JMU at 10-1 falls in into that category, but Jacksonville State at 8-3 does not because this is their first year of reclassifying. So, JMU would take the 80th spot. Also, when/if Navy loses to SMU, they will be 5-6. They still play Army who is also 5-6. So, the winner of the Army/Navy game will get to 6 wins for the 81st spot. That would leave one 5 win team in line to get the 82nd and last bowl bid.

If Wisconsin beat Minnesota, 5-7 Minnesota and 5-7 WF would each have an APR of 992. Not sure how that tie is broken. Otherwise, it appears that WF would be in line for the last bowl bid if form holds (which it won't).
 
Wake needs all those 5-6 teams to lose this week.

E.g. Ok State needs to beat BYU (5-6).
 
Over the last couple of games, Cuse has been playing a TE at QB and running the Wildcat. Crazy stat from the Cuse/GT game, Cuse's TE/QB Dan Vallari was a perfect 14 for 14 in passing attempts against GT. Sounds great except those 14 completions went for a TOTAL of 59 yards, which seems impossible. Villari transferred from Michigan to Cuse. He also has 19 receptions on the season.

Given WF's QB situation, perhaps WF should give that plan a shot.
 
Beat Cuse and have the reward be a bowl game against a Big Ten West team. Truly the Kohler Toilet Bowl right there.
 
Pilchard said:
Over the last couple of games, Cuse has been playing a TE at QB and running the Wildcat. Crazy stat from the Cuse/GT game, Cuse's TE/QB Dan Vallari was a perfect 14 for 14 in passing attempts against GT. Sounds great except those 14 completions went for a TOTAL of 59 yards, which seems impossible. Villari transferred from Michigan to Cuse. He also has 19 receptions on the season.

Given WF's QB situation, perhaps WF should give that plan a shot.
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I’ve been promoting a switch to the Wildcat since about Week 4.
 
Also I tend to trust Pilchard over Jerry Palm because, well, Jerry Palm is an absolute moron but I'll note that he does have Jacksonville State included in his bowl projections.
 
BigDeacEnergy said:
Yep, because Currie would still tout how we have the best brand in the ACC and a long bowl streak if we back doored our way into a bowl
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Wouldn’t that be a good thing if it helped stop us from backsliding on recruiting and fan momentum?
 
Haros said:
Wouldn’t that be a good thing if it helped stop us from backsliding on recruiting and fan momentum?
Click to expand...
Recruits and fans will not care about getting blown out, as a 5-7 team, in some Toilet Bowl
 
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