Henry Chinaski
Steve Lepore
- Joined
- Mar 27, 2011
- Messages
- 3,483
- Reaction score
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Figures we could confine discussion to its own thread. If i'm reading correctly, historically runoffs haven't favored dems due to turnout (in fact some have argued that the runoff provision is essentially a racist, anti-dem feature of Ga elections for that very reason)
In Dems favor:
- pub candidates are terrible, even by pub standards.
- Warnock in particular seems to have some cache
- somewhat rationale pubs (are there any left?) may be turned off by very alarming moves by Trump since the general
- 2% 3rd party vote will likely trend their way
In pubs favor:
- to me, most important is that i think they will scare monger people with the boogeyman of "socialist joe" getting control of senate. before you know it every gun will be banned and babies will be in blenders.
- Georgia is full of rubes
- turnout as mentioned above
- Dawgs are having a shitty year and they will probably blame the Black dude and Jewish guy (and that QB from Lake Forest)
- trump might show up to prove his brand in advance of 2024 (? - this could swing both ways?)
i actually see some material proportion of people doing the Warnock / Perdue split ticket to feel good about themselves. "hey i'm doing the right thing and voted for that nice preacher but bygawd i can't let the socialists control congress"
any other views by folks that are closer to the action?
In Dems favor:
- pub candidates are terrible, even by pub standards.
- Warnock in particular seems to have some cache
- somewhat rationale pubs (are there any left?) may be turned off by very alarming moves by Trump since the general
- 2% 3rd party vote will likely trend their way
In pubs favor:
- to me, most important is that i think they will scare monger people with the boogeyman of "socialist joe" getting control of senate. before you know it every gun will be banned and babies will be in blenders.
- Georgia is full of rubes
- turnout as mentioned above
- Dawgs are having a shitty year and they will probably blame the Black dude and Jewish guy (and that QB from Lake Forest)
- trump might show up to prove his brand in advance of 2024 (? - this could swing both ways?)
i actually see some material proportion of people doing the Warnock / Perdue split ticket to feel good about themselves. "hey i'm doing the right thing and voted for that nice preacher but bygawd i can't let the socialists control congress"
any other views by folks that are closer to the action?
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