Pilchard
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- May 3, 2011
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The nation's 45-day wait for the Dook/WF rematch ends tomorrow night.
Season update: On January 11, Duke edged WF by 31 (90-59). Since that game, the Devils have posted an 8-3 mark with road losses to Clemson (#63) and State (#50) and home loss to #9 L'ville (WF is 3-8 since the loss at Cameron). While WF had a bye this weekend, on Saturday, Duke pounded the young and tired Hokies by 24 (Duke led 51-25 at the half and outrebounded VT 49-31). The only change in the Devils since the first WF/Duke meeting is Wendell Moore's return as he missed six games in January including the WF game. Currently, Duke leads the ACC in effective FG% (54%), and they continue to maul conference teams inside with their size - Duke leads the ACC in 2 PT FG% (also, 54%) and 56% of the Devil offense comes from 2 point shots (#3). Dook is #2 in the ACC in effective FG% D (45%), and they are first in defending against the 3 in ACC play (conference opponents shoot 28% from deep). Duke likes to play fast they are the #1 conference team in tempo.
Here is the link to the prior KP report on Duke: https://www.ogboards.com/forums/showthread.php/32023-KP-Report-WF-Dook-Saturday-8-pm-ACCN
KP Projection: 80-70 Duke win. KP rates Deacs' chances at stealing a win at 17%. Last year, Duke crushed WF in January (87-64), and then, WF just missed the pulling a shocker in the rematch falling 71-70 as Chaundee's put-back just rolled off the rim. While tomorrow' rematch will be closer than the embarrassing loss in January at Cameron, Duke's no-show at State last week makes a second let-down in a week far less likely. Given Duke's status as a public team, guessing the line with be 11+, if so, like the rested Deacs to stay under the number, but lose. Just 4 KP reports to go...
Season update: On January 11, Duke edged WF by 31 (90-59). Since that game, the Devils have posted an 8-3 mark with road losses to Clemson (#63) and State (#50) and home loss to #9 L'ville (WF is 3-8 since the loss at Cameron). While WF had a bye this weekend, on Saturday, Duke pounded the young and tired Hokies by 24 (Duke led 51-25 at the half and outrebounded VT 49-31). The only change in the Devils since the first WF/Duke meeting is Wendell Moore's return as he missed six games in January including the WF game. Currently, Duke leads the ACC in effective FG% (54%), and they continue to maul conference teams inside with their size - Duke leads the ACC in 2 PT FG% (also, 54%) and 56% of the Devil offense comes from 2 point shots (#3). Dook is #2 in the ACC in effective FG% D (45%), and they are first in defending against the 3 in ACC play (conference opponents shoot 28% from deep). Duke likes to play fast they are the #1 conference team in tempo.
Here is the link to the prior KP report on Duke: https://www.ogboards.com/forums/showthread.php/32023-KP-Report-WF-Dook-Saturday-8-pm-ACCN
KP Projection: 80-70 Duke win. KP rates Deacs' chances at stealing a win at 17%. Last year, Duke crushed WF in January (87-64), and then, WF just missed the pulling a shocker in the rematch falling 71-70 as Chaundee's put-back just rolled off the rim. While tomorrow' rematch will be closer than the embarrassing loss in January at Cameron, Duke's no-show at State last week makes a second let-down in a week far less likely. Given Duke's status as a public team, guessing the line with be 11+, if so, like the rested Deacs to stay under the number, but lose. Just 4 KP reports to go...