Chris
Active member
Current BCS rankings are used and Oklahoma State loss is figured in...
I think Oregon and LSU are the front runners for the title game if they win out but this obviously can change by the end of the day.
National Championship Game
#1 LSU 10-0
#4 Oregon 9-1
The Bowl games that lose their automatic qualifier gets first pick of the at large teams. Since the Sugar Bowl lost the SEC champion to the National Championship game and it's champion is ranked #1 in the nation, they get first selection. They will stay true to their SEC roots and take Alabama.
Sugar Bowl
#3 Alabama 9-1
Since the Rose Bowl lost their Champion to the National Championship Game, they will get the next selection for an at large team. They will choose Stanford. Rose Bowl automatically gets the Big Ten Champion, so we can fill that in.
Rose Bowl
#9 Stanford 9-1
#16 Nebraska 8-2
From here, the order to pick at large teams is Fiesta Bowl, Sugar Bowl and last, The Orange Bowl. We know the Fiesta Bowl will get the Big XII Champion (the winner of the Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State game). We'll say they take Houston as their at large but more on this at the end of this post.***
Fiesta Bowl
#2 Oklahoma State 10-1
#11 Houston 10-0
Next up is the Sugar Bowl. We already know (hypothetically) the SEC used it's first at large on Alabama. They will likely use their second at large for the loser of the Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State game.
Sugar Bowl
#3 Alabama 9-1
#5 Oklahoma 8-1
That leaves the Orange Bowl. We know they get the ACC Champion. Since they get the last pick of the at large teams and no one picked the Big East Champion, the Orange Bowl will be stuck with the Big East Champion yet again. I'm going to say Clemson wins the ACC based only on the fact that they already beat Virginia Tech in Blacksburg on Thursday night. Obviously, an injured Watkins could change that. We'll say unranked West Virginia will win the Big East, but really... who cares.
Orange Bowl
#7 Clemson 9-1
NR West Virginia 7-3
***Back to the Fiesta Bowl. Here's where it gets interesting. If Nebraska is available for an at large, you have to think the Fiesta Bowl would love to put Nebraska up against Oklahoma or even Oklahoma State for an old Big XII matchup. This would force the Sugar Bowl to either select Houston or the Big East Champion. If the Big East Champion is West Virginia and they are a Top 20 9-3 team, I think the Sugar Bowl will pick them. Anyone else and I think they choose Houston. If Nebraska wins the Big Ten and goes to the Rose Bowl, I think the Fiesta Bowl would then go after a top 10, undefeated Houston team since they would likely travel pretty good and The Fiesta Bowl has shown plenty of times they have no problem taking the non-BCS teams. If Houston loses a game, they will not be in the top 12 of the BCS at the end of the year and will not get an automatic birth. But Boise State will and I would guess the Fiesta Bowl could choose Boise State. I could also see them choosing a two loss Arkansas or even a two loss Clemson team, if Virginia Tech won the ACC Championship Game. I don't see the Fiesta Bowl picking Virginia Tech, though. Again, this forces the Sugar Bowl to choose between the Big East Champion or the non-BCS automatic qualifier (Houston or Boise State).
Here's the rest of the Top 15.
#6 Arkansas 9-1 - hypothetically, will have two losses after playing LSU
#8 Virginia Tech 9-1 - hypothetically, will have two losses after ACCCG
#10 Boise State 8-1
#12 South Carolina 8-2
#13 Kansas State 8-2
#14 Georgia 8-2
#15 Michigan State 8-2
I think Oregon and LSU are the front runners for the title game if they win out but this obviously can change by the end of the day.
National Championship Game
#1 LSU 10-0
#4 Oregon 9-1
The Bowl games that lose their automatic qualifier gets first pick of the at large teams. Since the Sugar Bowl lost the SEC champion to the National Championship game and it's champion is ranked #1 in the nation, they get first selection. They will stay true to their SEC roots and take Alabama.
Sugar Bowl
#3 Alabama 9-1
Since the Rose Bowl lost their Champion to the National Championship Game, they will get the next selection for an at large team. They will choose Stanford. Rose Bowl automatically gets the Big Ten Champion, so we can fill that in.
Rose Bowl
#9 Stanford 9-1
#16 Nebraska 8-2
From here, the order to pick at large teams is Fiesta Bowl, Sugar Bowl and last, The Orange Bowl. We know the Fiesta Bowl will get the Big XII Champion (the winner of the Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State game). We'll say they take Houston as their at large but more on this at the end of this post.***
Fiesta Bowl
#2 Oklahoma State 10-1
#11 Houston 10-0
Next up is the Sugar Bowl. We already know (hypothetically) the SEC used it's first at large on Alabama. They will likely use their second at large for the loser of the Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State game.
Sugar Bowl
#3 Alabama 9-1
#5 Oklahoma 8-1
That leaves the Orange Bowl. We know they get the ACC Champion. Since they get the last pick of the at large teams and no one picked the Big East Champion, the Orange Bowl will be stuck with the Big East Champion yet again. I'm going to say Clemson wins the ACC based only on the fact that they already beat Virginia Tech in Blacksburg on Thursday night. Obviously, an injured Watkins could change that. We'll say unranked West Virginia will win the Big East, but really... who cares.
Orange Bowl
#7 Clemson 9-1
NR West Virginia 7-3
***Back to the Fiesta Bowl. Here's where it gets interesting. If Nebraska is available for an at large, you have to think the Fiesta Bowl would love to put Nebraska up against Oklahoma or even Oklahoma State for an old Big XII matchup. This would force the Sugar Bowl to either select Houston or the Big East Champion. If the Big East Champion is West Virginia and they are a Top 20 9-3 team, I think the Sugar Bowl will pick them. Anyone else and I think they choose Houston. If Nebraska wins the Big Ten and goes to the Rose Bowl, I think the Fiesta Bowl would then go after a top 10, undefeated Houston team since they would likely travel pretty good and The Fiesta Bowl has shown plenty of times they have no problem taking the non-BCS teams. If Houston loses a game, they will not be in the top 12 of the BCS at the end of the year and will not get an automatic birth. But Boise State will and I would guess the Fiesta Bowl could choose Boise State. I could also see them choosing a two loss Arkansas or even a two loss Clemson team, if Virginia Tech won the ACC Championship Game. I don't see the Fiesta Bowl picking Virginia Tech, though. Again, this forces the Sugar Bowl to choose between the Big East Champion or the non-BCS automatic qualifier (Houston or Boise State).
Here's the rest of the Top 15.
#6 Arkansas 9-1 - hypothetically, will have two losses after playing LSU
#8 Virginia Tech 9-1 - hypothetically, will have two losses after ACCCG
#10 Boise State 8-1
#12 South Carolina 8-2
#13 Kansas State 8-2
#14 Georgia 8-2
#15 Michigan State 8-2
Last edited: