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Official Nerd MLB Thread

AnonymousDeac said:
Not a fan of no walks.
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They've been crushing the strike-zone against him. He's been very patient with only 3 Ks in 22 PAs. I can actually speak abut his performance from more than a boxscore now!!!! HOORAY MILB.TV!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
deacphan said:
They've been crushing the strike-zone against him. He's been very patient with only 3 Ks in 22 PAs. I can actually speak abut his performance from more than a boxscore now!!!! HOORAY MILB.TV!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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That does add some extra insight. Have an average pitches per AB?
 
Hey baseball nerds (not derogatory, I greatly envy your knowledge), can someone breakdown the advanced metrics on Freddie Freeman, offensive and defensive, so I can get a better feel of how good (or potentially lucky) he has actually been this season? Comparisons and future projections would be awesome as well. Thanks!
 
AnonymousDeac said:
That does add some extra insight. Have an average pitches per AB?
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Nah, but it's high. In the game Friday night I believe it was he saw 5 pitches every AB even getting in some holes looking early. Seems really comfortable hitting behind in the count.
 
deacphan said:
Nah, but it's high. In the game Friday night I believe it was he saw 5 pitches every AB even getting in some holes looking early. Seems really comfortable hitting behind in the count.
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Sounds promising. Still has probably 13 months (at least 11) before ever having a chance at seeing the majors so hopefully this is just good signs of what's to come.
 
You are in for a treat kids, updated farm system rankings AND top 50 coming out today!
 
I don't like doing positional rankings. Where do you put a guy who's playing SS but probably won't end up there (but has a nonzero chance)?
 
timdunkandthefunk said:
Hey baseball nerds (not derogatory, I greatly envy your knowledge), can someone breakdown the advanced metrics on Freddie Freeman, offensive and defensive, so I can get a better feel of how good (or potentially lucky) he has actually been this season? Comparisons and future projections would be awesome as well. Thanks!
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So far his defensive ratings are whack, but that means very little to me. He seems like a good/decent defender which I value more at this point as a 1B with less than a full season. 1B especially one can improve at D for a while. I doubt his range will ever be great, but he seems to be able to pick it.

As far as his hitting components, there's a lot to like. His Iso is really good for a young hitter suggesting that he has the power to play the position long term, and his BB% and K% are good for a rookie. His HR/FB% doesn't look crazy which helps to justify teh good Iso and give you the ability to dream on him getting more powerful. There's definitely a lot to like with out much to jump on as obviously lucky.
 
timdunkandthefunk said:
Hey baseball nerds (not derogatory, I greatly envy your knowledge), can someone breakdown the advanced metrics on Freddie Freeman, offensive and defensive, so I can get a better feel of how good (or potentially lucky) he has actually been this season? Comparisons and future projections would be awesome as well. Thanks!
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Not good defensively but not a big enough sample. I can tell from watching that he does not move/react well enough to his right side.
 
IAppreciateIt said:
I don't like doing positional rankings. Where do you put a guy who's playing SS but probably won't end up there (but has a nonzero chance)?
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You weigh taht in to their rating. My SS ranking goes 2 deep: BEX and HJL!
 
timdunkandthefunk said:
Hey baseball nerds (not derogatory, I greatly envy your knowledge), can someone breakdown the advanced metrics on Freddie Freeman, offensive and defensive, so I can get a better feel of how good (or potentially lucky) he has actually been this season? Comparisons and future projections would be awesome as well. Thanks!
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He leads all NL rookies in batting average and runs batted in. I think he is a future Gold Glover defensively. The guy can really pick it over there.
 
I know it is tough to resist when you have that in your back pocket but it's all about timing.
 
god another dinger for ellsbury, i never thought hed have this kinda power.
 
deacphan said:
So far his defensive ratings are whack, but that means very little to me. He seems like a good/decent defender which I value more at this point as a 1B with less than a full season. 1B especially one can improve at D for a while. I doubt his range will ever be great, but he seems to be able to pick it.
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Freeman is probably a below-average defender -- negative this year on UZR and +/-, and negative TZ ratings every single minor league season.
 
First top 50 prospects (and 10 HM). Hopefully I didn't forget anyone.

Code: 
Rank	Org.	Name
1	LAA	Mike Trout
2	WAS	Bryce Harper
3	BAL	Manny Machado
4	TB	Matt Moore
5	WAS	Anthony Rendon
6	ARI	Trevor Bauer
7	STL	Shelby Miller
8	CIN	Devin Mesoraco
9	TEX	Jurickson Profar
10	COL	Drew Pomeranz
11	ATL	Arodys Vizcaino
12	DET	Jacob Turner
13	PIT	Jameson Taillon
14	TEX	Martin Perez
15	TB	Hak-Ju Lee
16	KC	Wil Myers
17	ATL	Julio Teheran
18	KC	Bubba Starling
19	ARI	Tyler Skaggs
20	NYY	Jesus Montero
21	STL	Carlos Martinez
22	NYM	Matt Harvey
23	SEA	Danny Hultzen
24	NYY	Manny Banuelos
25	COL	Nolan Arenado
26	ATL	Randall Delgado
27	WAS	Brad Peacock
28	BAL	Dylan Bundy
29	TOR	Travis D'Arnaud
30	MIN	Kyle Gibson
31	SEA	Taijuan Walker
32	CIN	Yasmani Grandal
33	KC	Jake Odorizzi
34	NYM	Zack Wheeler
35	WAS	AJ Cole
36	LAD	Zach Lee
37	CHC	Brett Jackson
38	TOR	Jake Marisnick
39	ARI	Jarrod Parker
40	HOU	Jarred Cosart
41	KC	Cheslor Cuthbert
42	SD	Robbie Erlin
43	BAL	Jonathan Schoop
44	MIL	Jed Bradley
45	PIT	Gerrit Cole
46	BOS	Will Middlebrooks
47	MIN	Miguel Sano
48	HOU	George Springer
49	SF	Gary Brown
50	KC	Mike Montgomery
HM	NYY	Dellin Betances
HM	PIT	Josh Bell
HM	DET	Nick Castellanos
HM	LAA	Kaleb Cowart
HM	TB	Taylor Guerrieri
HM	MIN	Aaron Hicks
HM	CLE	Francisco Lindor
HM	STL	Tyrell Jenkins
HM	MIL	Taylor Jungmann
HM	SD	Casey Kelly
 
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