cville deac
Well-known member
- Joined
- Apr 14, 2011
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1. Yes, you cannot serve consecutive terms as Gov in VA. Can't remember anyone during my lifetime who has come back and served a 2nd non-consecutive term here. Only president ever to do so was Cleveland.
2. Deval Patrick certainly wouldn't be Scott Brown, nor is it anywhere near a certainty that he would beat Scott Brown for Kerry's senate seat. Nor is it even a certainty that he would run. I strongly feel that 1 of the main reasons Warren won (and she was badly outperformed by Obama) was that the senate was potentially in the balance, and many folks voted for the D rather than the R to keep it that way. In a special election, voters would know that this would only be the difference between 55 and 54, so that same incentive wouldn't be there. Add to that Dems don't seem to have the same turnout that Pubs do in presidential off year elections. And add to that Brown has huge name recognition over any other Dem candidate not named Patrick. From what I've read, many Dems believe they'd be throwing that seat right back to Brown.
3. Not sure what McDonnell is going to do. Doubtful he challenges Warner, who is almost as impregnable as the other Warner used to be. And it would be 5 years after he left office before he'd be able to challenge Kaine. And he'll be 3 years out of office if he runs for Prez against a field that will likely have better name recognition. My bet is that, if Kookinelli loses next year, he comes back and runs for gov the next time around.
2. Deval Patrick certainly wouldn't be Scott Brown, nor is it anywhere near a certainty that he would beat Scott Brown for Kerry's senate seat. Nor is it even a certainty that he would run. I strongly feel that 1 of the main reasons Warren won (and she was badly outperformed by Obama) was that the senate was potentially in the balance, and many folks voted for the D rather than the R to keep it that way. In a special election, voters would know that this would only be the difference between 55 and 54, so that same incentive wouldn't be there. Add to that Dems don't seem to have the same turnout that Pubs do in presidential off year elections. And add to that Brown has huge name recognition over any other Dem candidate not named Patrick. From what I've read, many Dems believe they'd be throwing that seat right back to Brown.
3. Not sure what McDonnell is going to do. Doubtful he challenges Warner, who is almost as impregnable as the other Warner used to be. And it would be 5 years after he left office before he'd be able to challenge Kaine. And he'll be 3 years out of office if he runs for Prez against a field that will likely have better name recognition. My bet is that, if Kookinelli loses next year, he comes back and runs for gov the next time around.
