Did you just compare sports -- where emotion and human error are involved -- to flipping a coin which is literally just a 50/50 chance each flip?
As I said, you rely on statistics too much. I love statistics, but Jesus fucking Christ, dude. Equating things in real life with human interaction to coin flips, which involves no true human interaction other than the coin flip is why people take true blood statisticians like without seriousness.
You are an enemy of the good for the purpose of the perfect (which isn't attainable because we are humans).
How do you not see this? Statistics are fantastic over long trends. Of course they are. But statistics are rather shit when it comes to minute-to-minute updates. Especially when human beings are involved. This isn't a complicated concept, is it?