The only polls that matter are the ones on Election Day
No major poll leading into Tuesday’s primary race predicted Alsobrooks’ convincing margin of victory. Multiple polls
showed the race in a dead heat, and a few
even had Trone with a lead (which seemed to cause a lot of liberal hand-wringing). But
the results show concerns about Trone-mentum were overblown. Poll numbers have always had the power to distort
public perception of outcomes, and Maryland’s Democratic Senate primary showed again how problematic data can be in analysts' attempts to gauge voter preferences. Alsobrooks’ primary win also affirmed an old political adage: The only polls that matter are the ones that open on Election Day.